Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs PAE AEK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 26 Oct 2023 · 16:45 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals PAE AEK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct PAE AEK H 3–1 W
21 Oct OGC Nice A 0–1 L
08 Oct Le Havre AC H 3–0 W
05 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
30 Sep AS Monaco FC A 2–3 L
24 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 1–3 L
05 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
21 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–2 W
30 Aug Royal Antwerp FC H 1–2 L
22 Aug Royal Antwerp FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Orange Velodrome will turn into a battlefield for Olympique de Marseille and PAE AEK.
  • 5' PAE AEK seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vitinha, as he is very good at scoring at Orange Velodrome with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 12' The referee shows PAE AEK player a card on 12.
  • 17' The travelling PAE AEK supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jens Jonsson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' The referee calls foul for Leonardo Balerdi. He receives a card.
  • 27' Olympique de Marseille is taking the lead after the goal scored by Vitinha on 27.
  • 32' Jonathan Clauss is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
  • 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 42' It looks like no one’s ball. Olympique de Marseille is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 44' PAE AEK manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Milad Mohammadi is hanging Ehsan Hajsafi on the field on 44 minute.
  • 45' Llazaros Rota is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' Time for substitution for PAE AEK. Djibril Sidibe is replaced by Ezequiel Ponce.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 53' What a strike from Orbelin Pineda! The score is 1-1.
  • 57' It’s gonna be a card for Cican Stankovic.
  • 59' The whistle greets Petros Mantalos as he departs to be replaced by Georgios Athanasiadis.
  • 60' Sensational shot from Amine Harit. Olympique de Marseille is back in the lead.
  • 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PAE AEK needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Nordin Amrabat.
  • 69' GOAL! Jordan Veretout scores on 69.
  • 74' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amine Harit on 74 minute.
  • 75' It is a substitution in PAE AEK team. Damian Szymanski is replaced by Niclas Eliasson on 75 minute.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ezequiel Ponce made 127 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 83' Jens Jonsson was booked on 83.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Olympique de Marseille. Jordan Veretout is replaced by Michael Murillo.
  • 89' Olympique de Marseille manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bamo Meite is hanging Jonathan Clauss on the field on 89 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Olympique de Marseille players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.04 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 PAE AEK xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille57% Draw23% PAE AEK20%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
80%
Draw or PAE AEK
43%
Olympique de Marseille or PAE AEK
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille42% Draw42% PAE AEK16%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push PAE AEK covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
34%
PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.