Sunday , 16 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs PAE AEK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 26 Oct 2023 · 16:45 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals PAE AEK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct PAE AEK H 3–1 W
21 Oct OGC Nice A 0–1 L
08 Oct Le Havre AC H 3–0 W
05 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
30 Sep AS Monaco FC A 2–3 L
24 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 1–3 L
05 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
21 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–2 W
30 Aug Royal Antwerp FC H 1–2 L
22 Aug Royal Antwerp FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.04 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 PAE AEK xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille57% Draw23% PAE AEK20%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
80%
Draw or PAE AEK
43%
Olympique de Marseille or PAE AEK
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille42% Draw42% PAE AEK16%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push PAE AEK covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
34%
PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.