Thursday , 2 July 2026

PAE AEK vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3

Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 18:45 UTC Agia Sophia Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PAE AEK vs GNK Dinamo ZagrebChampions League Q at Agia Sophia Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Espen Eskas (Norway)
11 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 4.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 2–2 D
15 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 2–1 W
10 Dec Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 2–4 L
26 Nov FK Zorya Luhansk H 0–3 L
05 Nov FK Zorya Luhansk A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug PAE AEK A 2–2 D
15 Aug PAE AEK H 1–2 L
02 Aug Astana FK A 2–0 W
25 Jul Astana FK H 4–0 W
02 Nov Chelsea FC A 1–2 L
25 Oct AC Milan H 0–4 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for PAE AEK to score. At the same time, GNK Dinamo Zagreb does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' PAE AEK is showing some good football. However, PAE AEK are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' PAE AEK started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Niclas Eliasson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' GNK Dinamo Zagreb is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 32' The referee shows GNK Dinamo Zagreb player a card on 32.
  • 37' Ehsan Hajsafi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Damian Szymanski, as he is very good at scoring at Agia Sophia Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' Josip Sutalo puts GNK Dinamo Zagreb on the lead.
  • 51' It looks surprising GNK Dinamo Zagreb does not make any changes. Petros Mantalos has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' GNK Dinamo Zagreb seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 65' Goal! Robert Ljubicic scores his 4 goal in 30 matches.
  • 67' Mijat Gacinovic is replacing Damian Szymanski for the PAE AEK side.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Josip Misic. He receives a card.
  • 75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nordin Amrabat made 127 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 76' Time for substitution for PAE AEK. Orbelin Pineda is replaced by Konstantinos Galanopoulos.
  • 77' Bohdan Mykhailichenko is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Nordin Amrabat. He receives a card.
  • 82' The referee shows GNK Dinamo Zagreb player a card on 82.
  • 86' Antonio Marin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dario Spikic on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Antonio Marin. He receives a card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 PAE AEK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
I would bet for: PAE AEK or GNK Dinamo Zagreb 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK41% Draw26% GNK Dinamo Zagreb33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

PAE AEK or Draw
67%
Draw or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
59%
PAE AEK or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK27% Draw45% GNK Dinamo Zagreb28%
Actual: GNK Dinamo Zagreb win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — PAE AEK

Handicap PAE AEK covers Push GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
23%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.