Thursday , 2 July 2026

PAE AEK vs AFC Ajax, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
1 1
Full Time
Thu 5 Oct 2023 · 16:45 UTC Agia Sophia Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PAE AEK vs AFC AjaxEurope at Agia Sophia Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Matej Jug
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
21 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 3–2 W
30 Aug Royal Antwerp FC H 1–2 L
22 Aug Royal Antwerp FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 2–2 D
15 Aug GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct PAE AEK A 1–1 D
27 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
21 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 3–3 D
17 Sep FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
03 Sep Fortuna Sittard A 0–0 D
31 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 0–1 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: PAE AEK gets underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Amourricho van Axel Dongen, as he is very good at scoring at Agia Sophia Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' PAE AEK seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' It looks surprising PAE AEK does not make any changes. Cican Stankovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Goal! Steven Bergwijn scores his 61 goal in 436 matches.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' The referee calls foul for Domagoj Vida. He receives a card.
  • 45' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 52' PAE AEK player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' AFC Ajax receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
  • 61' Josip Sutalo is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 66' It looks like no one’s ball. PAE AEK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' Another substitution for PAE AEK to replace Orbelin Pineda by Jens Jonsson on 67 minute.
  • 72' Jay Gorter needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 73' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Brian Brobbey is replaced by Chuba Akpom.
  • 74' What a strike from Domagoj Vida! The score is 1-1.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Niclas Eliasson. He replaces Ehsan Hajsafi on 74 minute.
  • 79' Milad Mohammadi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mijat Gacinovic on 79 minute.
  • 84' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Carlos Forbs is replaced by Amourricho van Axel Dongen on 84 minute.
  • 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Sergio Araujo.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Nordin Amrabat. He receives a card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 PAE AEK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: PAE AEK or AFC Ajax 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK39% Draw29% AFC Ajax32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

PAE AEK or Draw
68%
Draw or AFC Ajax
61%
PAE AEK or AFC Ajax
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PAE AEK26% Draw49% AFC Ajax25%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — PAE AEK

Handicap PAE AEK covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
30%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.