Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 5 Oct 2023 · 16:45 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
30 Sep AS Monaco FC A 2–3 L
24 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–4 L
21 Sep AFC Ajax A 3–3 D
17 Sep Toulouse FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep FC Nantes A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 2–2 D
30 Sep Aston Villa FC A 1–6 L
24 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
21 Sep PAE AEK H 2–3 L
16 Sep Manchester United FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Newcastle United FC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.77 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille44% Draw26% Brighton & Hove Albion FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
70%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
56%
Olympique de Marseille or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille33% Draw43% Brighton & Hove Albion FC24%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
25%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.