Saturday , 26 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sun 26 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Willy Delajod
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr OGC Nice H 1–1 D
18 Apr FC Lorient A 0–2 L
10 Apr FC Metz H 3–1 W
05 Apr AS Monaco FC A 1–2 L
22 Mar Lille OSC H 1–2 L
13 Mar AJ Auxerre H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 1–1 D
18 Apr Lille OSC A 0–0 D
12 Apr Le Havre AC H 1–1 D
04 Apr RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–3 L
21 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–4 L
14 Mar Angers SCO A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille OGC Nice
#17 Position #14
3 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
7 Scored 3
8 Conceded 6
-1 GD -3
0.60 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
20% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season

Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts). OGC Nice are 14th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille49% Draw28% OGC Nice23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
77%
Draw or OGC Nice
51%
Olympique de Marseille or OGC Nice
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille34% Draw50% OGC Nice16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.