Saturday , 14 November 2026

OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Fri 21 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov Olympique de Marseille H 1–5 L
09 Nov FC Metz A 1–2 L
06 Nov SC Freiburg H 1–3 L
01 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–1 L
29 Oct Lille OSC H 2–0 W
26 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov OGC Nice A 5–1 W
08 Nov Stade Brestois 29 H 3–0 W
05 Nov Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
01 Nov AJ Auxerre A 1–0 W
29 Oct Angers SCO H 2–2 D
25 Oct Racing Club de Lens A 1–2 L

Season Stats

OGC Nice Olympique de Marseille
#6 Position #4
17 Points 18
10 Played 10
5 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 4
15 Scored 22
12 Conceded 14
+3 GD +8
1.70 PPG 1.80
50% Win % 60%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season
22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

OGC Nice are 6th (17 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

OGC Nice
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Olympique de Marseille
0-15
4/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

OGC Nice
Sepe Elye Wahi 6 G 2 A
Jonathan Clauss 3 G 1 A
Mohammed Amoura 2 G 2 A
Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 7 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Keyliane Abdallah 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between OGC Nice and Olympique de Marseille is underway.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-5 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

OGC Nice Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
OGC Nice27% Draw25% Olympique de Marseille48%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

OGC Nice or Draw
52%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
73%
OGC Nice or Olympique de Marseille
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
OGC Nice20% Draw39% Olympique de Marseille41%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — OGC Nice

Handicap OGC Nice covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 13% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 21% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.