Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 15:00 UTC Orange Velodrome 65,803 HT 45' · FT 45'
Neal Maupay 40' 1–0
Luis Henrique 53' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Berthomieu
  • Assistant 2 Ludovic Reyes
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep OGC Nice H 2–0 W
31 Aug Toulouse FC A 3–1 W
25 Aug Stade de Reims H 2–2 D
17 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 5–1 W
19 May Le Havre AC A 2–1 W
15 May Stade de Reims A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
01 Sep Angers SCO A 4–1 W
25 Aug Toulouse FC H 1–1 D
18 Aug AJ Auxerre A 1–2 L
19 May Lille OSC A 2–2 D
15 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille OGC Nice
#17 Position #14
3 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
7 Scored 3
8 Conceded 6
-1 GD -3
0.60 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
20% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season

Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts). OGC Nice are 14th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille53% Draw26% OGC Nice21%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
79%
Draw or OGC Nice
47%
Olympique de Marseille or OGC Nice
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille35% Draw47% OGC Nice18%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.