Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs Empoli FC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
2 0
Full Time
Sun 28 Apr 2024 · 16:00 UTC Gewiss Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Mario Pasalic pen 42' 1–0
Ademola Lookman 51' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Empoli FCSerie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
  • Assistant 2 Luca Mondin (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Empoli FC H 2–0 W
21 Apr AC Monza A 2–1 W
18 Apr Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
15 Apr Hellas Verona FC H 2–2 D
11 Apr Liverpool FC A 3–0 W
07 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Apr Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
20 Apr SSC Napoli H 1–0 W
13 Apr US Lecce A 0–1 L
06 Apr Torino FC H 3–2 W
01 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 0–2 L
15 Mar Bologna FC 1909 H 0–1 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Empoli FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC56% Draw27% Empoli FC17%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
83%
Draw or Empoli FC
44%
Atalanta BC or Empoli FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC36% Draw50% Empoli FC14%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.9%
0 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Empoli FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
48%
Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.