Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.
- Nottingham Forest FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
- Assistant 1 Marc Perry
- Assistant 2 Simon Long
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City FC | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal FC | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford FC | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United FC | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool FC | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton FC | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City AFC | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle United FC | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea FC | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town FC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United FC | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland AFC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace FC | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa FC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City FC | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham FC | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Porto | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Midtjylland | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fulham FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | AFC Bournemouth | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Everton FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | Brentford FC | H | 3–4 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
| Dan Ndoye | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Nottingham Forest FC get us underway at City Ground, Nottingham.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nottingham Forest FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 350 games and scored 412 goals.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Ward-Prowse suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Nottingham Forest FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 30' Martin Dubravka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 35' Marcus Edwards is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nottingham Forest FC tonight.
- 40' Nottingham Forest FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burnley FC backline.
- 42' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Murillo is replaced by Jair Paula on 42 minute.
- 46' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Igor Jesus comes on to replace Dilane Bakwa.
- 47' Burnley FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Zian Flemming on 45.
- 52' Kyle Walker needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 57' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 62' What an equalizer from Morgan Gibbs-White!
- 64' The whistle greets Marcus Edwards as he departs to be replaced by Lyle Foster.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Morgan Gibbs-White gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 74' Burnley FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Florentino on 75.
- 76' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Jacob Bruun Larsen comes on to replace Chimuanya Ugochukwu.
- 77' The England Morgan Gibbs-White breaks the deadlock on 77 minutes. 3-1!
- 80' Burnley FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
- 83' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Laurent is hanging Florentino on the field on 83 minute.
- 84' Burnley FC ring the changes. Zian Flemming has done his job and it is now time for Armando Broja to step up.
- 88' A tactical swap from Nottingham Forest FC — Morato on, Omari Hutchinson off on 88 minutes.
- 89' The crowd applauds Morgan Gibbs-White as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Dominguez steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
- Game over. The scoreline of 4-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Chris Wood ↓ Ryan Yates 76'
- 10
- 6
- 26
- 34
- 31
- 3
-
29
Dilane Bakwa ↓ Igor Jesus 46'
- 8
-
21
Omari Hutchinson ↓ Morato 88'
-
5
Murillo ↓ Jair Paula 42'
Bench
-
22
Ryan Yates ↑ 76'
- 27
- 9
-
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↑ 89'
-
4
Morato ↑ 88'
- 25
- 24
-
23
Jair Paula ↑ 42'
-
19
Igor Jesus ↑ 46'
Coach
Vítor Pereira
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Marcus Edwards ↓ Lyle Foster 64'
- 20
- 2
- 1
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Armando Broja 84'
-
16
Florentino ↓ Josh Laurent 83'
-
11
Jaidon Anthony ↓ Loum Tchaouna 83'
- 8
- 5
- 3
- 18
Bench
-
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↑ 76'
- 4
-
9
Lyle Foster ↑ 64'
-
27
Armando Broja ↑ 84'
-
17
Loum Tchaouna ↑ 83'
- 13
- 12
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 83'
- 31
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 3 |
| Chris Wood | 2 |
| Josh Cullen | 1 |
| Igor Jesus | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi | 1 |
| Zeki Amdouni | 1 |
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-04-19
Nottingham Forest FC
4–1
Burnley FC
W
2026-04-16
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
FC Porto
W
2026-04-12
Nottingham Forest FC
1–1
Aston Villa FC
D
2026-04-09
FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-03-22
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-19
FC Midtjylland
1–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9
Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Nottingham Forest FC to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nottingham Forest FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Burnley FC
39%
Nottingham Forest FC or Burnley FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
3%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC
| Handicap | Nottingham Forest FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.