Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leeds United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sun 2 Oct 2022 · 15:30 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee Harry Lennard
  • Referee Darren Cann
  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Referee Mark Scholes
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Aston Villa FC H 0–0 D
03 Sep Brentford FC A 2–5 L
30 Aug Everton FC H 1–1 D
27 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–1 L
21 Aug Chelsea FC H 3–0 W
13 Aug Southampton FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Leeds United FC A 0–0 D
16 Sep Southampton FC H 1–0 W
03 Sep Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
28 Aug West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
20 Aug Crystal Palace FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Leeds United FC Aston Villa FC
#5 Position #16
9 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 3 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
7 Scored 4
3 Conceded 9
+4 GD -5
1.80 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Leeds United FC are 5th (9 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC56% Draw27% Aston Villa FC17%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
44%
Leeds United FC or Aston Villa FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC41% Draw49% Aston Villa FC10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17%
2 – 0
14.1%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.1%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 27% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
56% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.