Norwich City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2023-24

Norwich City FC

4 – 2

Full Time

Watford FC

Tue 13 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Carrow Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Ashley Barnes 20' 1–0

Josh Sargent 28+4' 2–0

2–1 42+4' Mileta Rajovic

2–2 71' Yaser Asprilla

Gabriel Sara 77' 3–2

Christian Fassnacht 82' 4–2

Ashley Barnes 17' Y

Josh Sargent 30' Y

Y 45' Matheus Martins

Y 79' Ryan Porteous

Liam Gibbs 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Carrow Road.

Norwich City FC 15 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Stuart Attwell
Assistant 1 Neil Davies
Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)

6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Norwich City FC 15 games · Avg 3.1 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-13 Norwich City FC 4–2 Watford FC 2023-11-28 Watford FC 3–2 Norwich City FC 2023-01-02 Norwich City FC 0–1 Watford FC 2022-10-15 Watford FC 2–1 Norwich City FC 2022-01-21 Watford FC 0–3 Norwich City FC

Recent Form

Norwich City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Feb	Watford FC	H	4–2	W
10 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	2–2	D
03 Feb	Coventry City FC	H	2–1	W
28 Jan	Liverpool FC	A	2–5	L
24 Jan	Leeds United FC	A	0–1	L
20 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	2–4	L
10 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	1–2	L
06 Feb	Southampton FC	A	0–3	L
03 Feb	Cardiff City FC	H	0–1	L
31 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	0–0	D
28 Jan	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Norwich City FC		Watford FC
#12	Position	#20
21	Points	15
15	Played	15
7 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	4 / 3 / 8
32	Scored	13
24	Conceded	23
+8	GD	-10
1.40	PPG	1.00
47%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Norwich City FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Norwich City FC are 12th (21 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Norwich City FC

0-15

6/6

16-30

6/4

31-45

4/2

46-60

4/6

61-75

9/3

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

–/6

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Norwich City FC

Mohamed Toure	5 G
Mathias Kvistgaarden	4 G	4 A
Edmond-Paris Maghoma	4 G	2 A
Andre Brooks	3 G	2 A
Anthony Musaba	3 G	1 A

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Norwich City FC and Watford FC get this one started.
5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Norwich City FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Norwich City FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
17' The referee has no hesitation. Ashley Barnes is booked for Norwich City FC — card on 17.
20' Norwich City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ashley Barnes on 20.
25' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
30' It’s gonna be a card for Josh Sargent.
32' Josh Sargent has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
37' A quiet spell here at Carrow Road. Norwich City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
42' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
45' Matheus Martins has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
46' GOAL! Mileta Rajovic fires home to make it 2-1!
51' Onel Hernandez, a Cuba , has 20 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
55' A tactical swap from Norwich City FC — Christian Fassnacht on, Onel Hernandez off on 55 minutes.
56' A tactical swap from Norwich City FC — Marcelino Nunez on, Josh Sargent off on 56 minutes.
61' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Yaser Asprilla comes on to replace Ken Sema.
66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
71' Magnificent from Yaser Asprilla! That is 15 goals in 373 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
73' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Giorgi Chakvetadze is replaced by Edo Kayembe.
77' What composure from Gabriel Sara! The Brazil international strokes it home. 3-2.
79' It’s gonna be a card for Ryan Porteous.
80' The supporters are chanting for Liam Gibbs. He replaces Borja Sainz on 80 minute.
82' The Switzerland Christian Fassnacht breaks the deadlock on 82 minutes. 4-2!
84' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Tom Dele-Bashiru by Ryan Andrews on 84 minute.
88' Controversy at the stadium! Liam Gibbs argues furiously but the card stands.
89' Tom Ince gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Jake Livermore and will look to change the dynamic.
90' The whistle greets Gabriel Sara as he departs to be replaced by Danny Batth.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Norwich City FC take all three points.

Lineups

Norwich City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

6
Ben Gibson
10
Ashley Barnes ↓ Sydney van Hooijdonk 80'
28
Angus Gunn
25
Onel Hernandez ↓ Christian Fassnacht 55'
23
Kenny McLean
3
Jack Stacey
30
Dimitris Giannoulis
9
Josh Sargent ↓ Marcelino Nunez 56'
19
Jacob Sorensen
7
Borja Sainz ↓ Liam Gibbs 80'
17
Gabriel Sara ↓ Danny Batth 90'

Bench

Coach David Wagner

Watford FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

12
Ken Sema ↓ Yaser Asprilla 61'
26
Ben Hamer
8
Jake Livermore ↓ Tom Ince 89'
4
Wesley Hoedt
6
Jamal Lewis
5
Ryan Porteous
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Edo Kayembe 73'
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Ryan Andrews 84'
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Emmanuel Dennis 61'
11
Ismael Kone
9
Mileta Rajovic

Bench

Coach Valerien Ismael

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josh Sargent	5
Ismaila Sarr	3
Benjamin Chrisene	2
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	2
Yaser Asprilla	2
Mileta Rajovic	2
Myron Boadu	2
Emmanuel Dennis	2

Head to Head

Norwich City FC Form

2024-02-13 Norwich City FC 4–2 Watford FC W 2024-02-10 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–2 Norwich City FC D 2024-02-03 Norwich City FC 2–1 Coventry City FC W 2024-01-28 Liverpool FC 5–2 Norwich City FC L 2024-01-24 Leeds United FC 1–0 Norwich City FC L 2024-01-20 Norwich City FC 2–0 West Bromwich Albion FC W

Watford FC Form

2024-02-13 Norwich City FC 4–2 Watford FC L 2024-02-10 Watford FC 1–2 Leicester City FC L 2024-02-06 Southampton FC 3–0 Watford FC L 2024-02-03 Watford FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC L 2024-01-31 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–0 Watford FC D 2024-01-28 Watford FC 1–1 Southampton FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.57 Norwich City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Norwich City FC to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Norwich City FC64% Draw20% Watford FC16%

Actual: Norwich City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.68

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Watford FC

36%

Norwich City FC or Watford FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Norwich City FC50% Draw36% Watford FC14%

Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

2 – 0

8.4%

1 – 1

3 – 1

7.6%

3 – 0

1 – 0

6.2%

4 – 1

4.9%

2 – 2

4.9%

4 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

4.2%

1 – 2

3.9%

0 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap	Norwich City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	19%	53%
-1.5	47%	—	53%
-1	47%	21%	32%
-0.5	68%	—	32%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	9%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.