Norwich City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2023-24

Norwich City FC

4 – 2

Full Time

Watford FC

Tue 13 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Carrow Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Ashley Barnes 20' 1–0

Josh Sargent 28+4' 2–0

2–1 42+4' Mileta Rajovic

2–2 71' Yaser Asprilla

Gabriel Sara 77' 3–2

Christian Fassnacht 82' 4–2

Ashley Barnes 17' Y

Josh Sargent 30' Y

Y 45' Matheus Martins

Y 79' Ryan Porteous

Liam Gibbs 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Carrow Road.

Norwich City FC 8 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Stuart Attwell
Assistant 1 Neil Davies
Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)

3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Norwich City FC 14 games · Avg 2.9 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-13 Norwich City FC 4–2 Watford FC 2023-11-28 Watford FC 3–2 Norwich City FC 2023-01-02 Norwich City FC 0–1 Watford FC 2022-10-15 Watford FC 2–1 Norwich City FC 2022-01-21 Watford FC 0–3 Norwich City FC

Recent Form

Norwich City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Feb	Watford FC	H	4–2	W
10 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	2–2	D
03 Feb	Coventry City FC	H	2–1	W
28 Jan	Liverpool FC	A	2–5	L
24 Jan	Leeds United FC	A	0–1	L
20 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	2–4	L
10 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	1–2	L
06 Feb	Southampton FC	A	0–3	L
03 Feb	Cardiff City FC	H	0–1	L
31 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	0–0	D
28 Jan	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Norwich City FC		Watford FC
#17	Position	#20
9	Points	8
8	Played	8
3 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 4
16	Scored	7
17	Conceded	10
-1	GD	-3
1.13	PPG	1.00
38%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Norwich City FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Norwich City FC are 17th (9 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Norwich City FC

0-15

5/4

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

–/2

61-75

5/3

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Watford FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Norwich City FC

Mohamed Toure	5 G
Andre Brooks	2 G	2 A
Mathias Kvistgaarden	2 G	1 A

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Carrow Road as Norwich City FC face off against Watford FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Kenny McLean is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Norwich City FC so far.
10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Norwich City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
17' Ashley Barnes is having his name booked by the referee on 17.
20' What a moment for Ashley Barnes! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
25' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
30' Poor challenge from Josh Sargent. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
32' Josh Sargent does the damage! The net is bulging and Norwich City FC surge ahead!
37' Norwich City FC have won 465 goals from 372 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryan Porteous is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Norwich City FC.
45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Martins on 45.
46' A goal from the Denmark international Mileta Rajovic! He fires home on 42 to make it 2-1!
51' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
55' Christian Fassnacht is replacing Onel Hernandez for the Norwich City FC side.
56' The whistle greets Josh Sargent as he departs to be replaced by Marcelino Nunez.
61' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Yaser Asprilla comes on to replace Ken Sema.
66' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
71' Yaser Asprilla adds to his 3 season tally! Watford FC lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
73' Edo Kayembe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Giorgi Chakvetadze on 73 minute.
77' Gabriel Sara doubles the advantage! 3-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
79' The referee calls foul for Ryan Porteous. He receives a card.
80' The crowd applauds Borja Sainz as he leaves the pitch. Liam Gibbs steps in for Norwich City FC.
82' What a moment for Christian Fassnacht! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
84' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Tom Dele-Bashiru by Ryan Andrews on 84 minute.
88' Liam Gibbs has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 88.
89' The supporters are chanting for Tom Ince. He replaces Jake Livermore on 89 minute.
90' Norwich City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Danny Batth is hanging Gabriel Sara on the field on 90 minute.
With this win, Norwich City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Norwich City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

6
Ben Gibson
10
Ashley Barnes ↓ Sydney van Hooijdonk 80'
28
Angus Gunn
25
Onel Hernandez ↓ Christian Fassnacht 55'
23
Kenny McLean
3
Jack Stacey
30
Dimitris Giannoulis
9
Josh Sargent ↓ Marcelino Nunez 56'
19
Jacob Sorensen
7
Borja Sainz ↓ Liam Gibbs 80'
17
Gabriel Sara ↓ Danny Batth 90'

Bench

Coach David Wagner

Watford FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

12
Ken Sema ↓ Yaser Asprilla 61'
26
Ben Hamer
8
Jake Livermore ↓ Tom Ince 89'
4
Wesley Hoedt
6
Jamal Lewis
5
Ryan Porteous
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Edo Kayembe 73'
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Ryan Andrews 84'
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Emmanuel Dennis 61'
11
Ismael Kone
9
Mileta Rajovic

Bench

Coach Valerien Ismael

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josh Sargent	5
Ismaila Sarr	3
Emmanuel Dennis	2
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	2
Yaser Asprilla	2
Mileta Rajovic	2
Ashley Barnes	1
Juraj Kucka	1

Head to Head

Norwich City FC Form

2024-02-13 Norwich City FC 4–2 Watford FC W 2024-02-10 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–2 Norwich City FC D 2024-02-03 Norwich City FC 2–1 Coventry City FC W 2024-01-28 Liverpool FC 5–2 Norwich City FC L 2024-01-24 Leeds United FC 1–0 Norwich City FC L 2024-01-20 Norwich City FC 2–0 West Bromwich Albion FC W

Watford FC Form

2024-02-13 Norwich City FC 4–2 Watford FC L 2024-02-10 Watford FC 1–2 Leicester City FC L 2024-02-06 Southampton FC 3–0 Watford FC L 2024-02-03 Watford FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC L 2024-01-31 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–0 Watford FC D 2024-01-28 Watford FC 1–1 Southampton FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.29 Norwich City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.27 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Norwich City FC58% Draw22% Watford FC20%

Actual: Norwich City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw

80%

Draw or Watford FC

42%

Norwich City FC or Watford FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Norwich City FC44% Draw39% Watford FC17%

Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

7.5%

3 – 1

6.9%

1 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

5.8%

3 – 0

5.6%

1 – 2

5.1%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 0

4.2%

4 – 1

4 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap	Norwich City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	18%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	21%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	11%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.