Norwich City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Norwich City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Carrow Road.
- Norwich City FC 46 games · 65 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stuart Attwell
- Assistant 1 Neil Davies
- Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Watford FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Feb | Coventry City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Liverpool FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 24 Jan | Leeds United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Leicester City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Jan | Southampton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Norwich City FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #16 |
| 65 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 19 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 63 | Scored | 53 |
| 56 | Conceded | 65 |
| +7 | GD | -12 |
| 1.41 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 41% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Norwich City FC are 9th (65 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Norwich City FC is hosting Watford FC for another epic battle.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Valerien Ismael will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' It’s high time David Wagner made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Norwich City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 17' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ashley Barnes on 17 minutes.
- 20' Ashley Barnes is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' Norwich City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 30.
- 32' Against the run of play, Josh Sargent has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 37' Norwich City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
- 42' Dimitris Giannoulis has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Martins on 45.
- 46' The deadlock is broken! Mileta Rajovic gets on the scoresheet on 42 minutes.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' Another change for Norwich City FC made on 55 minute. Onel Hernandez leaves to be changed by Christian Fassnacht.
- 56' The whistle greets Josh Sargent as he departs to be replaced by Marcelino Nunez.
- 61' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Ken Sema departs to be replaced by Yaser Asprilla.
- 66' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 66 minutes.
- 71' GOAL! Yaser Asprilla scores on 71.
- 73' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Edo Kayembe comes on to replace Giorgi Chakvetadze.
- 77' GOAL! Gabriel Sara scores on 77. Assisted by Ashley Barnes
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Porteous argues furiously but the card stands.
- 80' Norwich City FC make a change. Borja Sainz trudges off to be replaced by Liam Gibbs on 80 minutes.
- 82' What a strike from Christian Fassnacht! The score is 4-2.
- 84' Ryan Andrews is replacing Tom Dele-Bashiru for the Watford FC side.
- 88' The referee shows Norwich City FC player a card on 88.
- 89' Another change for Watford FC made on 89 minute. Jake Livermore leaves to be changed by Tom Ince.
- 90' Gabriel Sara makes way for Danny Batth at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Norwich City FC.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Norwich City FC players.
Lineups
Norwich City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 28
- 25
- 23
- 3
- 30
-
9
Josh Sargent ↓ Marcelino Nunez 56'
- 19
-
7
Borja Sainz ↓ Liam Gibbs 80'
-
17
Gabriel Sara ↓ Danny Batth 90'
Bench
-
14
Sydney van Hooijdonk ↑ 80'
- 5
-
21
Danny Batth ↑ 90'
- 12
- 15
-
16
Christian Fassnacht ↑ 55'
-
8
Liam Gibbs ↑ 80'
-
26
Marcelino Nunez ↑ 56'
- 35
Coach
David Wagner
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Yaser Asprilla 61'
- 26
-
8
Jake Livermore ↓ Tom Ince 89'
- 4
- 6
- 5
- 16
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Ryan Andrews 84'
- 37
- 11
- 9
Bench
-
25
Emmanuel Dennis ↑ 61'
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 89'
- 3
- 1
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 73'
- 15
- 42
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 61'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 84'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Sargent | 5 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Yaser Asprilla | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Emmanuel Dennis | 2 |
| Marcelino Nunez | 1 |
| Danny Welbeck | 1 |
Head to Head
Norwich City FC Form
2024-02-13
Norwich City FC
4–2
Watford FC
W
2024-02-10
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–2
Norwich City FC
D
2024-02-03
Norwich City FC
2–1
Coventry City FC
W
2024-01-28
Liverpool FC
5–2
Norwich City FC
L
2024-01-24
Leeds United FC
1–0
Norwich City FC
L
2024-01-20
Norwich City FC
2–0
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16
Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Norwich City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Norwich City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Watford FC
42%
Norwich City FC or Watford FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Norwich City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC
| Handicap | Norwich City FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 22% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

