Thursday , 2 July 2026

Norwich City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Tue 13 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Carrow Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Ashley Barnes 20' 1–0
Josh Sargent 28+4' 2–0
2–1 42+4' Mileta Rajovic
2–2 71' Yaser Asprilla
Gabriel Sara 77' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Neil Davies
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Watford FC H 4–2 W
10 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–2 D
03 Feb Coventry City FC H 2–1 W
28 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–5 L
24 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
10 Feb Leicester City FC H 1–2 L
06 Feb Southampton FC A 0–3 L
03 Feb Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
31 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–0 D
28 Jan Southampton FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Watford FC
#9 Position #16
65 Points 57
46 Played 46
19 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
63 Scored 53
56 Conceded 65
+7 GD -12
1.41 PPG 1.24
41% Win % 30%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Norwich City FC are 9th (65 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC58% Draw22% Watford FC20%
Actual: Norwich City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Watford FC
42%
Norwich City FC or Watford FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC43% Draw40% Watford FC17%
Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 22% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.