Thursday , 1 October 2026

Norwich City FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Carrow Road 26,261 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Sargent pen 15' 1–0
1–1 60' Largie Ramazani

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Leeds United FC — Championship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Steve Martin
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
28 Sep Derby County FC A 3–2 W
21 Sep Watford FC H 4–1 W
14 Sep Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Coventry City FC A 1–0 W
24 Aug Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep Coventry City FC H 3–0 W
21 Sep Cardiff City FC A 2–0 W
14 Sep Burnley FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
23 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Norwich City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Norwich City FC
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
5/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Norwich City FC
Mohamed Toure 5 G
Andre Brooks 2 G 2 A
Mathias Kvistgaarden 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Norwich City FC or Leeds United FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC33% Draw30% Leeds United FC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Leeds United FC
67%
Norwich City FC or Leeds United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC23% Draw49% Leeds United FC28%
Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.