Thursday , 2 July 2026

Norwich City FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Carrow Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Shane Duffy 4' 1–0
Gabriel Sara 43' 2–0
2–1 63' Shane Duffy og

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Leeds United FCChampionship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Alex James (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Leeds United FC H 2–3 L
07 Oct Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
04 Oct Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
30 Sep Birmingham City FC H 2–0 W
23 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–6 L
20 Sep Leicester City FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Norwich City FC A 3–2 W
07 Oct Bristol City FC H 2–1 W
04 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
30 Sep Southampton FC A 1–3 L
23 Sep Watford FC H 3–0 W
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Norwich City FC or Leeds United FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC33% Draw26% Leeds United FC41%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Leeds United FC
67%
Norwich City FC or Leeds United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC27% Draw44% Leeds United FC29%
Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.