Thursday , 2 July 2026

Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 17 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC Bank of America Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Chicago Fire FC H 1–4 L
14 May Orlando City SC A 1–3 L
11 May Nashville SC A 1–2 L
03 May Columbus Crew SC A 2–4 L
26 Apr New England Revolution H 0–1 L
19 Apr San Diego FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Charlotte FC A 4–1 W
10 May Atlanta United FC H 2–1 W
04 May Orlando City SC H 0–0 D
27 Apr Nashville SC A 2–7 L
20 Apr FC Cincinnati H 2–3 L
13 Apr Internacional CF Miami H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Charlotte FC Chicago Fire FC
#6 Position #3
21 Points 26
15 Played 14
6 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 4
24 Scored 27
23 Conceded 16
+1 GD +11
1.40 PPG 1.86
40% Win % 57%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Charlotte FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Charlotte FC are 6th (21 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Charlotte FC
0-15
/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
3/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76 Charlotte FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Charlotte FC or Chicago Fire FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Charlotte FC35% Draw24% Chicago Fire FC41%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Charlotte FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
65%
Charlotte FC or Chicago Fire FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Charlotte FC27% Draw39% Chicago Fire FC34%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Charlotte FC

Handicap Charlotte FC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 19% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Charlotte FC keeps clean sheet
14%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.