New York City FC vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York City FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Montreal Impact FC

Sat 10 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 39' Samuel Piette

Justin Haak 44' Y

Y 87' Joel Waterman

Mitja Ilenic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs Montreal Impact FC — MLS at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)
Montreal Impact FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 17 games · Avg 2.0 goals Montreal Impact FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-10 New York City FC 0–1 Montreal Impact FC 2024-10-19 Montreal Impact FC 2–0 New York City FC 2024-07-03 New York City FC 2–0 Montreal Impact FC 2023-08-30 New York City FC 2–0 Montreal Impact FC 2023-07-01 Montreal Impact FC 0–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	Montreal Impact FC	H	0–1	L
04 May	FC Cincinnati	H	1–0	W
26 Apr	Toronto FC	A	1–0	W
19 Apr	New England Revolution	A	0–2	L
12 Apr	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
06 Apr	Minnesota United FC	H	1–2	L

Montreal Impact FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	New York City FC	A	1–0	W
03 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
26 Apr	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
19 Apr	Orlando City SC	H	0–0	D
12 Apr	Charlotte FC	H	0–1	L
05 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York City FC		Montreal Impact FC
#8	Position	#12
19	Points	14
15	Played	14
5 / 4 / 6	W / D / L	4 / 2 / 8
25	Scored	22
21	Conceded	31
+4	GD	-9
1.27	PPG	1.00
33%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

36% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season

New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 12th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Montreal Impact FC

0-15

3/3

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York City FC and Montreal Impact FC has kicked off!
5' Prince-Osei Owusu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
10' New York City FC have won 454 goals from 286 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
20' New York City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
25' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Montreal Impact FC winning 100% of all matches.
35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dawid Bugaj is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York City FC.
39' Controversy at the stadium! Samuel Piette argues furiously but the card stands.
44' Justin Haak has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
46' Fresh legs for Montreal Impact FC! Victor Loturi comes on to replace Samuel Piette.
47' Time for substitution for New York City FC. Tayvon Gray is replaced by Mitja Ilenic.
48' Prince-Osei Owusu puts Montreal Impact FC on the lead.
53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Fabian Herbers, as he is very good at scoring at Yankee Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
60' It is a substitution in Montreal Impact FC team. Giacomo Vrioni is replaced by Caden Clark on 60 minute.
62' Hannes Wolf is replacing Julian Fernandez for the New York City FC side.
67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
73' Monsef Bakrar is replacing Nico Cavallo for the New York City FC side.
78' USA international Jalen Neal has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
80' It is a substitution in Montreal Impact FC team. Fabian Herbers is replaced by Tom Pearce on 80 minute.
81' It is a substitution in Montreal Impact FC team. Jalen Neal is replaced by Brandan Craig on 81 minute.
85' The whistle greets Prince-Osei Owusu as he departs to be replaced by Owen Graham-Roache.
87' A moment of madness from Joel Waterman on 87 minutes earns him a card. Montreal Impact FC will be frustrated.
90' New York City FC player sees a card in front of him.
It finishes all square. New York City FC and Montreal Impact FC share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

21
Aiden O'Neill ↓ Strahinja Tanasijevic 62'
13
Thiago Martins
10
Maxi Moralez
49
Matt Freese
80
Justin Haak
8
Andres Perea ↓ Agustin Ojeda 47'
24
Tayvon Gray ↓ Mitja Ilenic 47'
32
Jonathan Shore
11
Julian Fernandez ↓ Hannes Wolf 62'
16
Alonso Martinez
2
Nico Cavallo ↓ Monsef Bakrar 73'

Bench

19
Strahinja Tanasijevic ↑ 62'
17
Hannes Wolf ↑ 62'
30
Tomas Romero
29
Maximo Carrizo
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 47'
35
Mitja Ilenic ↑ 47'
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 73'
38
Drew Baiera

Montreal Impact FC Lineups

Starting XI

17
Giacomo Vrioni ↓ Caden Clark 60'
9
Prince-Osei Owusu ↓ Owen Graham-Roache 85'
21
Fabian Herbers ↓ Tom Pearce 80'
6
Samuel Piette ↓ Victor Loturi 46'
25
Dante Sealy
16
Joel Waterman
40
Jonathan Sirois
19
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
2
Jalen Neal ↓ Brandan Craig 81'
13
Luca Petrasso
27
Dawid Bugaj

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Maxi Moralez	3
Talles Magno	2
Jesus Medina	2
Romell Quioto	2
Prince-Osei Owusu	2
Alonso Martinez	2
Jon Lewis	1
Ismael Tajouri-Shradi	1

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2025-05-10 New York City FC 0–1 Montreal Impact FC L 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC W 2025-04-19 New England Revolution 2–0 New York City FC L 2025-04-12 New York City FC 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2025-04-06 New York City FC 1–2 Minnesota United FC L

Montreal Impact FC Form

2025-05-10 New York City FC 0–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-05-03 Montreal Impact FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-04-26 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Montreal Impact FC L 2025-04-19 Montreal Impact FC 0–0 Orlando City SC D 2025-04-12 Montreal Impact FC 0–1 Charlotte FC L 2025-04-05 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 Montreal Impact FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.71 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 Montreal Impact FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New York City FC51% Draw26% Montreal Impact FC23%

Actual: Montreal Impact FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.68

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Montreal Impact FC

49%

New York City FC or Montreal Impact FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC38% Draw46% Montreal Impact FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

1 – 0

10.8%

2 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

8.7%

0 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

5.5%

3 – 1

5.4%

1 – 2

5.3%

2 – 2

4.6%

0 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

2.7%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	Montreal Impact FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	17%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	23%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.