Nagoya Grampus vs Oita FC Trinita, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

Oita FC Trinita

Sun 26 Sep 2021 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Oita FC Trinita — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Oita FC Trinita 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 6 games · Avg 1.8 goals Oita FC Trinita

Last 5 meetings

2021-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Oita FC Trinita 2021-04-11 Oita FC Trinita 0–3 Nagoya Grampus 2020-11-28 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Oita FC Trinita 2020-07-22 Oita FC Trinita 0–3 Nagoya Grampus 2019-10-05 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Oita FC Trinita

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Sep	Oita FC Trinita	H	1–0	W
22 Sep	FC Tōkyō	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	2–1	W
10 Sep	Tokushima Vortis	H	3–0	W
29 Aug	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–1	D
25 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–0	W

Oita FC Trinita

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
18 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–0	D
11 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–0	W
28 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–4	L
25 Aug	Vissel Kobe	H	1–3	L
21 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Oita FC Trinita does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Asahi Masuyama made 444 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
7' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sho Inagaki on 7.
8' Goal! Sho Inagaki scores his 45 goal in 335 matches.
13' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
18' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
23' Ryoya Morishita needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
28' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
46' Oita FC Trinita manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Asahi Masuyama is hanging Ryosuke Tone on the field on 46 minute.
51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oita FC Trinita needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
61' It’s high time Massimo Ficcadenti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
63' The whistle greets Yoichiro Kakitani as he departs to be replaced by Jakub Swierczok.
64' The supporters are chanting for Jakub Swierczok. He replaces Yoichiro Kakitani on 64 minute.
67' Another substitution for Oita FC Trinita to replace Kento Haneda by Yuki Kobayashi on 67 minute.
72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
73' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Shumpei Naruse is replaced by Kazuki Nagasawa on 73 minute.
78' Oita FC Trinita started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 78.
79' Haruya Fujii has so much to prove this time. He replaces Min-Tae Kim on 79 minute.
83' Naoki Nomura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Kagawa on 83 minute.
88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
With this win, Nagoya Grampus is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

1
Mitch Langerak
23
Yutaka Yoshida
15
Sho Inagaki
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↓ Jakub Swierczok 63'
14
Yasuki Kimoto
25
Naoki Maeda ↓ Yuki Soma 63'
26
Shumpei Naruse ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 73'
4
Shinnosuke Nakatani
16
Mateus
17
Ryoya Morishita
20
Min-Tae Kim ↓ Haruya Fujii 79'

Bench

44
Mu Kanazaki
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 73'
21
Yohei Takeda
13
Haruya Fujii ↑ 79'
10
Gabriel Xavier
11
Yuki Soma ↑ 63'
40
Jakub Swierczok ↑ 63'

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Oita FC Trinita Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

39
Asahi Masuyama ↑ 46'
4
Keisuke Saka
6
Yuki Kobayashi ↑ 67'
13
Kohei Isa ↑ 73'
25
Seigo Kobayashi ↑ 46'
10
Naoki Nomura ↑ 83'
44
Shun Yoshida

Coach Tomohiro Katanosaka

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sho Inagaki	2
Kei Chinen	1
Ryogo Yamasaki	1
Yoichiro Kakitani	1
Keisuke Saka	1
Kazuya Miyahara	1
Ado Onaiwu	1
Shuhei Akasaki	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2021-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Oita FC Trinita W 2021-09-22 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-09-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2021-09-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Tokushima Vortis W 2021-08-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2021-08-25 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W

Oita FC Trinita Form

2021-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Oita FC Trinita L 2021-09-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Oita FC Trinita D 2021-09-11 Oita FC Trinita 2–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2021-08-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Oita FC Trinita L 2021-08-25 Oita FC Trinita 1–3 Vissel Kobe L 2021-08-21 Oita FC Trinita 1–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.47 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.68 Oita FC Trinita xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus58% Draw27% Oita FC Trinita15%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 2.15

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

84%

Draw or Oita FC Trinita

42%

Nagoya Grampus or Oita FC Trinita

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus36% Draw51% Oita FC Trinita13%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

13.9%

1 – 1

12.4%

2 – 0

12.1%

2 – 1

8.3%

0 – 1

6.8%

3 – 0

5.8%

3 – 1

4.2%

1 – 2

3.8%

2 – 2

2.9%

0 – 2

2.5%

4 – 0

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Oita FC Trinita covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	17%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	26%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	11%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

51% ✓

Oita FC Trinita keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.