NEC vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
NEC vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Allard Lindhout
23 games this season 🟨 0.1/game ⚽ 3.2 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 PSV 34 84 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 34 65 3 NEC 34 59 4 FC Twente '65 34 58 5 AFC Ajax 34 56 6 FC Utrecht 34 53 7 AZ 34 52 8 SC Heerenveen 34 51 9 FC Groningen 34 48 10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 43 11 Fortuna Sittard 34 39 12 Go Ahead Eagles 34 38 13 SBV Excelsior 34 38 14 Telstar 1963 34 37 15 PEC Zwolle 34 37 16 FC Volendam 34 32 17 NAC Breda 34 29 18 Heracles Almelo 34 19 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 20 Dec AFC Ajax H 2–2 D 13 Dec Telstar 1963 A 2–2 D 07 Dec FC Volendam A 3–2 W 29 Nov Sparta Rotterdam H 3–1 W 23 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam A 4–2 W 09 Nov FC Groningen H 2–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 20 Dec NEC A 2–2 D 14 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–0 W 10 Dec Qarabag Agdam FK A 4–2 W 06 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 3–1 W 02 Dec FC Groningen H 2–0 W 25 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L Season Stats
NEC AFC Ajax #3 Position #5 59 Points 56 34 Played 34 16 / 11 / 7 W / D / L 14 / 14 / 6 77 Scored 62 53 Conceded 41 +24 GD +21 1.74 PPG 1.65 47% Win % 41% Key Stats
60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history15% Clean Sheets
NEC this season29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this seasonNEC are 3rd (59 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (56 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC0-151/116-302/131-451/246-60–/261-751/–76+3/–■ Scored ■ ConcededAFC Ajax0-151/116-303/131-452/–46-601/–61-75–/–76+2/4■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
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Lineups
NEC Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Bart van Rooij 3 Dusan Tadic 2 Noussair Mazraoui 2 Wout Weghorst 2 Sontje Hansen 2 Brian Brobbey 2 Davy Klaassen 2 Carlos Forbs 2 Head to Head
NEC Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 42 NEC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.84 AFC Ajax xGI would bet for: NEC or AFC Ajax 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.84Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 97% 3% ± 1.5 89% 11% ± 2.5 72% 28% ± 3.5 53% 47% ± 4.5 34% 66% Double Chance
NEC or Draw 66%Draw or AFC Ajax 57%NEC or AFC Ajax 76%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 8.7%2 – 1 7.7%1 – 2 7.1%2 – 2 Actual3 – 1 5.1%3 – 2 4.6%2 – 0 4.4%1 – 3 4.3%2 – 3 4.3%1 – 0 3.8%0 – 2 3.7%0 – 1 3.5%Asian Handicap — NEC
Handicap NEC covers Push AFC Ajax covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 13% 76% -1.5 24% — 76% -1 24% 18% 58% -0.5 42% — 58% +0.5 64% — 36% +1 64% 17% 19% +1.5 81% — 19% +2 81% 11% 8% +2.5 92% — 8% Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet 17% ✓AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet 14% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.