NEC vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NEC vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Allard Lindhout
9 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | AFC Ajax | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Dec | Telstar 1963 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Dec | FC Volendam | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Nov | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 4–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Groningen | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | NEC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Dec | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Qarabag Agdam FK | A | 4–2 | W |
| 06 Dec | Fortuna Sittard | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | FC Groningen | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| NEC | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 14 | Points | 25 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 3 / 5 / 4 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 1 |
| 20 | Scored | 32 |
| 21 | Conceded | 15 |
| -1 | GD | +17 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 2.08 |
| 25% | Win % | 58% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
NEC are 11th (14 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/5
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 4 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Lineups
NEC Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
Head to Head
NEC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
NEC or AFC Ajax 76% + Over 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
NEC or Draw
57%
Draw or AFC Ajax
66%
NEC or AFC Ajax
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — NEC
| Handicap | NEC covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 19% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.