NEC vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NEC vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Allard Lindhout
6 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 7.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | AFC Ajax | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Dec | Telstar 1963 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Dec | FC Volendam | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Nov | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 4–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Groningen | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | NEC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Dec | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Qarabag Agdam FK | A | 4–2 | W |
| 06 Dec | Fortuna Sittard | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | FC Groningen | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| NEC | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 8 | Points | 14 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 2 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 |
| 12 | Scored | 21 |
| 13 | Conceded | 9 |
| -1 | GD | +12 |
| 1.14 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 29% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
NEC are 11th (8 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 3 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Lineups
NEC Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
Head to Head
NEC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
NEC or Draw
55%
Draw or AFC Ajax
68%
NEC or AFC Ajax
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8%
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 3
5.2%
0 – 2
5%
0 – 3
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
1 – 4
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
2 – 4
3.2%
Asian Handicap — NEC
| Handicap | NEC covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 19% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 16% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.