NEC vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NEC vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Allard Lindhout
4 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 2.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | AFC Ajax | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Dec | Telstar 1963 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Dec | FC Volendam | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Nov | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 4–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Groningen | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | NEC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Dec | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | A | 4–2 | W |
| 06 Dec | Fortuna Sittard | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | FC Groningen | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| NEC | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 3 | Points | 3 |
| 2 | Played | 1 |
| 1 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 2 |
| 3 | Conceded | 0 |
| +2 | GD | +2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
100%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
NEC are 6th (3 pts). AFC Ajax are 7th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Lineups
NEC Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
Head to Head
NEC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01
NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
NEC or Draw
52%
Draw or AFC Ajax
73%
NEC or AFC Ajax
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
9.9%
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
3.1%
2 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — NEC
| Handicap | NEC covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 23% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

