NEC vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Match Preview
NEC vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Allard Lindhout
23 games this season 🟨 0.1/game ⚽ 3.2 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 PSV 33 81 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 33 62 3 FC Twente '65 33 58 4 NEC 33 56 5 AFC Ajax 33 55 6 AZ 33 51 7 FC Utrecht 33 50 8 SC Heerenveen 33 50 9 FC Groningen 33 45 10 Sparta Rotterdam 33 43 11 Fortuna Sittard 33 39 12 Go Ahead Eagles 33 38 13 PEC Zwolle 33 37 14 SBV Excelsior 33 35 15 Telstar 1963 33 34 16 FC Volendam 33 32 17 NAC Breda 33 28 18 Heracles Almelo 33 19 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 20 Dec AFC Ajax H 2–2 D 13 Dec Telstar 1963 A 2–2 D 07 Dec FC Volendam A 3–2 W 29 Nov Sparta Rotterdam H 3–1 W 23 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam A 4–2 W 09 Nov FC Groningen H 2–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 20 Dec NEC A 2–2 D 14 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–0 W 10 Dec Qarabag Agdam FK A 4–2 W 06 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 3–1 W 02 Dec FC Groningen H 2–0 W 25 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L Season Stats
NEC AFC Ajax #4 Position #5 56 Points 55 33 Played 33 15 / 11 / 7 W / D / L 14 / 13 / 6 75 Scored 62 52 Conceded 41 +23 GD +21 1.70 PPG 1.67 45% Win % 42% Key Stats
60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history15% Clean Sheets
NEC this season27% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this seasonNEC are 4th (56 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (55 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC0-15–/116-301/131-451/246-60–/161-751/–76+3/–■ Scored ■ ConcededAFC Ajax0-151/116-303/131-452/–46-601/–61-75–/–76+2/4■ Scored ■ Conceded -
NEC Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
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H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Bart van Rooij 3 Carlos Forbs 2 Dusan Tadic 2 Noussair Mazraoui 2 Wout Weghorst 2 Sontje Hansen 2 Brian Brobbey 2 Davy Klaassen 2 Head to Head
NEC Form
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Prediction accuracy2 / 42.03 NEC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.88 AFC Ajax xGI would bet for: NEC or AFC Ajax 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.91Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 97% 3% ± 1.5 90% 10% ± 2.5 74% 26% ± 3.5 54% 46% ± 4.5 35% 65% Double Chance
NEC or Draw 66%Draw or AFC Ajax 57%NEC or AFC Ajax 76%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 8.5%2 – 1 7.6%1 – 2 7%2 – 2 Actual3 – 1 5.1%3 – 2 4.7%2 – 3 4.4%1 – 3 4.3%2 – 0 4.2%0 – 2 3.6%1 – 0 3.6%0 – 1 3.3%Asian Handicap — NEC
Handicap NEC covers Push AFC Ajax covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 13% 76% -1.5 24% — 76% -1 24% 18% 58% -0.5 42% — 58% +0.5 64% — 36% +1 64% 16% 19% +1.5 81% — 19% +2 81% 11% 9% +2.5 91% — 9% Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet 16% ✓AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet 14% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.