Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Falkirk FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 20 Dec 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Falkirk FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ryan Lee (Scotland)

Head-to-Head

3
Kilmarnock FC 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals Falkirk FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Falkirk FC H 0–1 L
14 Dec Aberdeen FC A 1–2 L
06 Dec Rangers FC H 0–3 L
03 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–1 D
29 Nov Dundee United FC H 1–1 D
22 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–2 L
06 Dec Hibernian FC A 0–3 L
03 Dec Motherwell FC H 0–0 D
30 Nov Rangers FC A 0–0 D
22 Nov Dundee United FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Falkirk FC
#11 Position #6
28 Points 46
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 13 / 7 / 13
37 Scored 45
65 Conceded 48
-28 GD -3
0.85 PPG 1.39
18% Win % 39%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Falkirk FC are 6th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Falkirk FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 Falkirk FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC23% Draw26% Falkirk FC51%
Actual: Falkirk FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Falkirk FC
77%
Kilmarnock FC or Falkirk FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC16% Draw45% Falkirk FC39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Falkirk FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Falkirk FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.