Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,888 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 68' Sam Dalby

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Dundee United FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
  • Assistant 1 Calum Spence
  • Assistant 2 Daniel McFarlane
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
29 Mar Celtic FC A 0–3 L
15 Mar Ross County FC H 2–0 W
02 Mar Hibernian FC A 1–2 L
26 Feb St. Mirren FC H 3–1 W
23 Feb St. Johnstone FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–0 W
30 Mar Ross County FC A 1–0 W
16 Mar Dundee FC H 2–4 L
02 Mar Aberdeen FC A 2–2 D
26 Feb Hibernian FC H 1–3 L
22 Feb Motherwell FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Dundee United FC
#1 Position #7
70 Points 40
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 11
58 Scored 45
28 Conceded 54
+30 GD -9
2.12 PPG 1.21
64% Win % 27%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Dundee United FC are 7th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC50% Draw27% Dundee United FC23%
Actual: Dundee United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Dundee United FC
50%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Dundee United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC39% Draw46% Dundee United FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Dundee United FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.