Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC The Den 18,385 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Aaron Connolly
Femi Azeez 90+3' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Sunderland AFCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Mark Russell
  • Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Sunderland AFC H 1–1 D
09 Nov Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
06 Nov Leeds United FC H 1–0 W
03 Nov Burnley FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
23 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Millwall FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–2 D
06 Nov Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
02 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–0 D
26 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
23 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Sunderland AFC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Aaron Connolly puts Sunderland AFC on the lead.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
  • 20' Sunderland AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Dan Neil has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' It looks surprising Sunderland AFC does not make any changes. Anthony Patterson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' Tom Bradshaw has so much to prove this time. He replaces George Honeyman on 46 minute.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' The Sunderland AFC manager makes a substitution. Aaron Connolly departs to be replaced by Milan Aleksic.
  • 63' Sunderland AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
  • 68' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 73' Aidomo Emakhu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 74' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Femi Azeez is hanging Duncan Watmore on the field on 74 minute.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Milan Aleksic.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Josh Coburn is replaced by Mihailo Ivanovic on 77 minute.
  • 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chris Rigg suffering a number of foals already.
  • 86' Millwall FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 87' Chris Mepham is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
  • 89' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. George Saville departs to be replaced by Macaulay Langstaff.
  • 90' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Shaun Hutchinson by Aidomo Emakhu on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC39% Draw32% Sunderland AFC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
61%
Millwall FC or Sunderland AFC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC24% Draw55% Sunderland AFC21%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.