Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Nisbet 44' 1–0
1–1 78' Jack Clarke pen

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Sunderland AFCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee James Linington
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Mark Pottage

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Sunderland AFC H 1–1 D
29 Nov Ipswich Town FC A 1–3 L
25 Nov Coventry City FC H 0–3 L
11 Nov Sheffield Wednesday FC A 4–0 W
04 Nov Southampton FC H 0–1 L
28 Oct Watford FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Millwall FC A 1–1 D
29 Nov Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–2 L
25 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–2 L
11 Nov Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
04 Nov Swansea City AFC A 0–0 D
28 Oct Norwich City FC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Millwall FC host Sunderland AFC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Billy Mitchell made 382 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Sunderland AFC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Sunderland AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Sunderland AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 24' Mason Burstow catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 24.
  • 25' Sunderland AFC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 25.
  • 30' George Honeyman has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jack Clarke.
  • 33' Jack Clarke has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 33.
  • 38' Eliezer Mayenda has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 328 appearances.
  • 43' Bradley Dack is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sunderland AFC tonight.
  • 44' Kevin Nisbet adds to his 0 season tally! Millwall FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Daniel Ballard argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 50' Adil Aouchiche has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' The crowd applauds Abdoullah Ba as he leaves the pitch. Patrick Roberts steps in for Sunderland AFC.
  • 61' Sunderland AFC have won 478 goals from 363 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 63' Ryan Longman gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces George Honeyman and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' That is a Yellow card for Millwall FC. George Saville will be fuming at that decision.
  • 72' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniel Ballard is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • 73' A tactical swap from Millwall FCDuncan Watmore on, Zian Flemming off on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Fresh legs for Sunderland AFC! Eliezer Mayenda comes on to replace Dan Neil.
  • 78' GOAL! Jack Clarke scores on 78.
  • 78' Poor challenge from Bartosz Bialkowski. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 81' Controversy at the stadium! Tom Bradshaw argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 86' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Duncan Watmore is booked for Millwall FC — Yellow card on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.02 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Sunderland AFC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC33% Draw31% Sunderland AFC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
67%
Millwall FC or Sunderland AFC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC21% Draw52% Sunderland AFC27%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.