Sunday , 16 August 2026

Millwall FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC The Den 18,385 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Aaron Connolly
Femi Azeez 90+3' 1–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Sunderland AFC H 1–1 D
09 Nov Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
06 Nov Leeds United FC H 1–0 W
03 Nov Burnley FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
23 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Millwall FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–2 D
06 Nov Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
02 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–0 D
26 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
23 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Millwall FC get us underway at The Den.
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Aaron Connolly is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' The 31-year-old Luke O'Nien has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — George Honeyman exits the field as Tom Bradshaw enters on 46.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Romain Esse, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eliezer Mayenda suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Milan Aleksic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aaron Connolly on 58 minute.
  • 63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 68' The travelling Sunderland AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 73' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 73 minutes.
  • 74' Millwall FC ring the changes. Duncan Watmore has done his job and it is now time for Femi Azeez to step up.
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Milan Aleksic on 77.
  • 77' Mihailo Ivanovic gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Josh Coburn and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sunderland AFC backline.
  • 86' That is a card for Millwall FC. Romain Esse will be fuming at that decision.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Chris Mepham on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Macaulay Langstaff gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces George Saville and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Shaun Hutchinson as he leaves the pitch. Aidomo Emakhu steps in for Millwall FC.
  • It finishes all square. Millwall FC and Sunderland AFC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC39% Draw32% Sunderland AFC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
61%
Millwall FC or Sunderland AFC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC24% Draw55% Sunderland AFC21%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.