Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
- Assistant 1 Rob Smith
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Norwich City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Aug | Bristol City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 May | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 28 Apr | Blackpool FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Ipswich Town FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Aug | Rotherham United FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 08 May | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #17 |
| 83 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 64 | Scored | 51 |
| 49 | Conceded | 56 |
| +15 | GD | -5 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 52% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Millwall FC welcome Stoke City FC for this crunch clash at The Den.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 7' George Saville catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 7.
- 12' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Bryan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
- 17' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 18' The referee calls foul for Josh Laurent. He receives a Yellow card.
- 23' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 3-5-2 shape.
- 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alex Neil will be considering his options from the bench.
- 33' Ben Wilmot has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 33.
- 35' Controversy at the stadium! Ki-Jana Hoever argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 38' GOAL! Kevin Nisbet scores on 38. Assisted by Zian Flemming
- 43' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Jordan Thompson by Ben Pearson on 46 minute.
- 51' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ben Pearson on 51 minutes.
- 56' Wes Harding needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 28 Yellow cards this season.
- 61' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 66' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 68' Millwall FC ring the changes. Brooke Norton-Cuffy has done his job and it is now time for Aidomo Emakhu to step up.
- 69' Andreas Voglsammer is replacing Kevin Nisbet for the Millwall FC side.
- 74' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 77' Ryan Mmaee is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wesley at the 77 minute mark.
- 78' Stoke City FC make a change. Wesley trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Mmaee on 78 minutes.
- 82' Poor challenge from Luke McNally. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 87' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Wes Harding is hanging Joe Bryan on the field on 90 minute.
- Full Time. Millwall FC beats Stoke City FC
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 18
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Wes Harding 90'
- 4
- 5
-
15
Joe Bryan ↓ Murray Wallace 90'
- 23
- 20
-
10
Zian Flemming ↓ George Evans 90'
- 8
- 7
- 17
Bench
-
3
Murray Wallace ↑ 90'
- 19
-
6
George Evans ↑ 90'
- 33
-
45
Wes Harding ↑ 90'
-
21
Andreas Voglsammer ↑ 68'
- 2
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 68'
- 25
Coach
Gary Rowett
Stoke City FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 16
- 1
- 12
- 3
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↓ Ben Pearson 46'
- 7
-
14
Josh Tymon ↓ Tyrese Campbell 46'
-
17
Ki-Jana Hoever ↓ Mehdi Leris 46'
- 23
-
28
Josh Laurent ↓ Wouter Burger 46'
-
18
Wesley ↓ Ryan Mmaee 77'
Bench
- 11
-
10
Tyrese Campbell ↑ 46'
-
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 46'
- 13
-
6
Wouter Burger ↑ 46'
-
27
Mehdi Leris ↑ 46'
-
19
Ryan Mmaee ↑ 77'
- 32
- 30
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Charlie Cresswell | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Saido Berahino | 1 |
| Kevin Nisbet | 1 |
| Ben Thompson | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Stoke City FC
46%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

