Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC The Den 15,254 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Nisbet 38' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee David Webb
  • Assistant 1 Rob Smith
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
20 Aug Norwich City FC A 1–3 L
12 Aug Bristol City FC H 0–1 L
05 Aug Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
08 May Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–4 L
28 Apr Blackpool FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Millwall FC A 0–1 L
19 Aug Watford FC H 1–0 W
12 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 0–2 L
05 Aug Rotherham United FC H 4–1 W
08 May Watford FC A 0–2 L
29 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Stoke City FC
#3 Position #17
83 Points 55
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
64 Scored 51
49 Conceded 56
+15 GD -5
1.80 PPG 1.20
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Millwall FC welcome Stoke City FC for this crunch clash at The Den.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 7' George Saville catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 7.
  • 12' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Bryan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 17' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 18' The referee calls foul for Josh Laurent. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 23' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alex Neil will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 33' Ben Wilmot has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 33.
  • 35' Controversy at the stadium! Ki-Jana Hoever argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 38' GOAL! Kevin Nisbet scores on 38. Assisted by Zian Flemming
  • 43' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Jordan Thompson by Ben Pearson on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ben Pearson on 51 minutes.
  • 56' Wes Harding needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 28 Yellow cards this season.
  • 61' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 66' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 68' Millwall FC ring the changes. Brooke Norton-Cuffy has done his job and it is now time for Aidomo Emakhu to step up.
  • 69' Andreas Voglsammer is replacing Kevin Nisbet for the Millwall FC side.
  • 74' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 77' Ryan Mmaee is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wesley at the 77 minute mark.
  • 78' Stoke City FC make a change. Wesley trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Mmaee on 78 minutes.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Luke McNally. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 87' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Wes Harding is hanging Joe Bryan on the field on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Millwall FC beats Stoke City FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC54% Draw27% Stoke City FC19%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Stoke City FC
46%
Millwall FC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC35% Draw51% Stoke City FC14%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.