Saturday , 14 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC The Den 14,804 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Teden Mengi

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
24 Aug Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
17 Aug Bristol City FC A 3–4 L
10 Aug Watford FC H 2–3 L
04 May Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Millwall FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
24 Aug Preston North End FC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
12 Aug Burnley FC H 1–4 L
19 May Fulham FC H 2–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Millwall FC get us underway at The Den.
  • 5' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 10' A goal from the England international Teden Mengi! He fires home on 10 to make it 0-1!
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Neil Harris will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 22' It’s gonna be a card for Casper De Norre.
  • 27' England international Duncan Watmore has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 32' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Alfie Doughty has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' Macaulay Langstaff has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josh Coburn on 34 minute.
  • 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Casper De Norre is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • 41' Poor challenge from Teden Mengi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Jake Cooper exits the field as Shaun Hutchinson enters on 46.
  • 51' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' George Honeyman has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 61' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 66' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 67' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. George Honeyman is withdrawn and Femi Azeez gets his opportunity.
  • 69' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Marvelous Nakamba is withdrawn and Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu gets his opportunity.
  • 74' It’s high time Neil Harris made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 79' Millwall FC make a change. Joe Bryan trudges off to be replaced by Calum Scanlon on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 85' A moment of madness from Thomas Kaminski on 85 minutes earns him a card. Luton Town FC will be frustrated.
  • 89' Alfie Doughty was booked on 89.
  • 90' Tom Holmes gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Liam Walsh and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Luton Town FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC36% Draw32% Luton Town FC32%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Luton Town FC
64%
Millwall FC or Luton Town FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC24% Draw53% Luton Town FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.