Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC The Den 14,804 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Teden Mengi

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Luton Town FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
24 Aug Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
17 Aug Bristol City FC A 3–4 L
10 Aug Watford FC H 2–3 L
04 May Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Millwall FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
24 Aug Preston North End FC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
12 Aug Burnley FC H 1–4 L
19 May Fulham FC H 2–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Millwall FC and Luton Town FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Luton Town FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Teden Mengi on 10.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 22' Casper De Norre is having his name booked by the referee on 22.
  • 27' It’s high time Neil Harris made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jordan Clark suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' Macaulay Langstaff has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josh Coburn on 34 minute.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Teden Mengi. He receives a card.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Jake Cooper is replaced by Shaun Hutchinson on 46 minute.
  • 51' Tom Holmes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. George Honeyman is replaced by Femi Azeez on 67 minute.
  • 69' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu is hanging Marvelous Nakamba on the field on 69 minute.
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Joe Bryan departs to be replaced by Calum Scanlon.
  • 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alfie Doughty, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 85' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a card on 85.
  • 89' Luton Town FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • 90' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 90 minute. Liam Walsh leaves to be changed by Tom Holmes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Millwall FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Luton Town FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC36% Draw32% Luton Town FC32%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Luton Town FC
64%
Millwall FC or Luton Town FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC24% Draw53% Luton Town FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.