Sunday , 16 August 2026

Millwall FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC The Den 14,804 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Teden Mengi

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
24 Aug Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
17 Aug Bristol City FC A 3–4 L
10 Aug Watford FC H 2–3 L
04 May Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Millwall FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
24 Aug Preston North End FC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
12 Aug Burnley FC H 1–4 L
19 May Fulham FC H 2–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Luton Town FC get us underway at The Den.
  • 5' Liam Walsh is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
  • 10' The England Teden Mengi breaks the deadlock on 10 minutes. 0-1!
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Millwall FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 20' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 22' It’s gonna be a card for Casper De Norre.
  • 27' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Josh Coburn is replaced by Macaulay Langstaff.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
  • 41' Poor challenge from Teden Mengi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' The whistle greets Jake Cooper as he departs to be replaced by Shaun Hutchinson.
  • 51' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Millwall FCFemi Azeez on, George Honeyman off on 67 minutes.
  • 69' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Marvelous Nakamba by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu on 69 minute.
  • 74' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 79' Millwall FC ring the changes. Joe Bryan has done his job and it is now time for Calum Scanlon to step up.
  • 84' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Thomas Kaminski.
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alfie Doughty on 89.
  • 90' Liam Walsh makes way for Tom Holmes at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Luton Town FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Luton Town FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC36% Draw32% Luton Town FC32%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Luton Town FC
64%
Millwall FC or Luton Town FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC24% Draw53% Luton Town FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.