Millwall FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
8 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Luton Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Hull City AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Bristol City FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Aug | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 May | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Preston North End FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Aug | Burnley FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 19 May | Fulham FC | H | 2–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Millwall FC get us underway at The Den.
- 5' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 10' A goal from the England international Teden Mengi! He fires home on 10 to make it 0-1!
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Neil Harris will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 22' It’s gonna be a card for Casper De Norre.
- 27' England international Duncan Watmore has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 32' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Alfie Doughty has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 34' Macaulay Langstaff has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josh Coburn on 34 minute.
- 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Casper De Norre is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
- 41' Poor challenge from Teden Mengi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Jake Cooper exits the field as Shaun Hutchinson enters on 46.
- 51' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' George Honeyman has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 61' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 66' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 67' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. George Honeyman is withdrawn and Femi Azeez gets his opportunity.
- 69' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Marvelous Nakamba is withdrawn and Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu gets his opportunity.
- 74' It’s high time Neil Harris made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 79' Millwall FC make a change. Joe Bryan trudges off to be replaced by Calum Scanlon on 79 minutes.
- 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 85' A moment of madness from Thomas Kaminski on 85 minutes earns him a card. Luton Town FC will be frustrated.
- 89' Alfie Doughty was booked on 89.
- 90' Tom Holmes gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Liam Walsh and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 18
-
5
Jake Cooper ↓ Shaun Hutchinson 46'
-
39
George Honeyman ↓ Femi Azeez 67'
- 19
-
15
Joe Bryan ↓ Calum Scanlon 79'
- 23
- 24
- 6
- 1
- 21
-
25
Romain Esse ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 79'
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 34'
-
4
Shaun Hutchinson ↑ 46'
- 13
- 14
- 2
-
11
Femi Azeez ↑ 67'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 79'
-
33
Calum Scanlon ↑ 79'
- 16
Coach
Neil Harris
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
20
Liam Walsh ↓ Tom Holmes 90'
- 13
- 16
- 45
- 3
- 18
-
11
Elijah Adebayo ↓ Carlton Morris 67'
- 24
- 14
- 15
- 6
Bench
-
29
Tom Holmes ↑ 90'
- 25
- 7
- 10
-
9
Carlton Morris ↑ 67'
- 1
- 5
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 69'
- 37
Coach
Rob Edwards
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Elijah Adebayo | 3 |
| Harry Cornick | 2 |
| Connor Mahoney | 2 |
| George Evans | 1 |
| Benik Afobe | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Luton Town FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Luton Town FC
64%
Millwall FC or Luton Town FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

