Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Sat 5 Dec 2020 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45+2' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Alan Young
  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Derek Eaton
  • Referee Simon Bennett

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Derby County FC H 0–1 L
02 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–2 L
28 Nov Birmingham City FC A 0–0 D
25 Nov Reading FC H 1–1 D
21 Nov Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
07 Nov Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Millwall FC A 1–0 W
01 Dec Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
28 Nov Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
25 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 0–3 L
21 Nov Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
07 Nov Barnsley FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#3 Position #8
83 Points 69
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
64 Scored 67
49 Conceded 59
+15 GD +8
1.80 PPG 1.50
52% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Ryan Leonard has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' England international Martyn Waghorn has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Millwall FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' Graeme Shinnie is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
  • 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 49' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 54' Max Bird is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
  • 58' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 58.
  • 58' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Ben Thompson is withdrawn and Troy Parrott gets his opportunity.
  • 63' Craig Forsyth needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 64' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Duane Holmes is withdrawn and Martyn Waghorn gets his opportunity.
  • 69' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jason Knight on 69.
  • 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Matt Smith is replaced by Jon Dadi Bodvarsson on 76 minute.
  • 81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mahlon Romeo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Martyn Waghorn.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Colin Kazim-Richards.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Lee Buchanan comes on to replace Colin Kazim-Richards.
  • 87' Nathan Byrne is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
  • 90' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Ryan Leonard by Shaun Williams on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC41% Draw30% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
59%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC29% Draw51% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.