Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alan Young
- Referee Darren England
- Referee Derek Eaton
- Referee Simon Bennett
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Nov | Reading FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Nov | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Nov | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Nov | Barnsley FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #22 |
| 11 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 15 | Scored | 7 |
| 15 | Conceded | 14 |
| +0 | GD | -7 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 38% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Millwall FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Shaun Hutchinson, a England , has 25 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Lee Buchanan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 15' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jake Cooper is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 34' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Graeme Shinnie.
- 39' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 49' Krystian Bielik is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 54' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 58' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Krystian Bielik.
- 58' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Ben Thompson is withdrawn and Troy Parrott gets his opportunity.
- 63' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 64' The whistle greets Duane Holmes as he departs to be replaced by Martyn Waghorn.
- 69' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jason Knight on 69.
- 74' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 76' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Matt Smith by Jon Dadi Bodvarsson on 76 minute.
- 81' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 85' Martyn Waghorn catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
- 86' Colin Kazim-Richards catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 86.
- 86' Lee Buchanan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Colin Kazim-Richards at the 86 minute mark.
- 87' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 87.
- 90' The whistle greets Ryan Leonard as he departs to be replaced by Shaun Williams.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Ben Thompson ↓ Troy Parrott 58'
- 19
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↓ Shaun Williams 90'
-
11
Shane Ferguson ↓ Tyler Burey 76'
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 7
- 3
- 33
- 10
Bench
- 1
-
22
Jon Daði Boðvarsson ↑ 76'
-
32
Tyler Burey ↑ 76'
-
6
Shaun Williams ↑ 90'
- 26
- 15
- 29
-
25
Troy Parrott ↑ 58'
- 35
Coach
Gary Rowett
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 33
-
25
Duane Holmes ↓ Martyn Waghorn 64'
- 1
- 5
- 12
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↓ Max Bird 64'
- 13
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↓ Andre Wisdom 90'
- 38
Bench
- 11
- 21
-
2
Andre Wisdom ↑ 90'
-
8
Max Bird ↑ 64'
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 64'
-
26
Lee Buchanan ↑ 86'
- 17
- 39
Coach
Liam Rosenior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Connor Mahoney | 1 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.8
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

