Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alan Young
- Referee Darren England
- Referee Derek Eaton
- Referee Simon Bennett
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Nov | Reading FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Nov | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Nov | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Nov | Barnsley FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #23 |
| 18 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 23 | Scored | 14 |
| 27 | Conceded | 30 |
| -4 | GD | -16 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 33% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds The Den will turn into a battlefield for Millwall FC and Derby County FC.
- 5' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Turkey international Colin Kazim-Richards has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jason Knight made 400 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Krystian Bielik has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Murray Wallace is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 34' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Graeme Shinnie will be fuming at that decision.
- 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shane Ferguson, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
- 44' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 49' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 58' Krystian Bielik is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 58' Troy Parrott has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ben Thompson on 58 minute.
- 63' Mahlon Romeo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 397 appearances.
- 64' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Duane Holmes by Martyn Waghorn on 64 minute.
- 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jason Knight makes it 0-1.
- 74' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 76' Millwall FC make a change. Matt Smith trudges off to be replaced by Jon Dadi Bodvarsson on 76 minutes.
- 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Liam Rosenior might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Martyn Waghorn.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Colin Kazim-Richards argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 86' Lee Buchanan gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Colin Kazim-Richards and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 90' The whistle greets Ryan Leonard as he departs to be replaced by Shaun Williams.
- Millwall FC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Ben Thompson ↓ Troy Parrott 58'
- 19
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↓ Shaun Williams 90'
-
11
Shane Ferguson ↓ Tyler Burey 76'
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 7
- 3
- 33
- 10
Bench
- 1
-
22
Jon Daði Boðvarsson ↑ 76'
-
32
Tyler Burey ↑ 76'
-
6
Shaun Williams ↑ 90'
- 26
- 15
- 29
-
25
Troy Parrott ↑ 58'
- 35
Coach
Gary Rowett
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 33
-
25
Duane Holmes ↓ Martyn Waghorn 64'
- 1
- 5
- 12
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↓ Max Bird 64'
- 13
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↓ Andre Wisdom 90'
- 38
Bench
- 11
- 21
-
2
Andre Wisdom ↑ 90'
-
8
Max Bird ↑ 64'
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 64'
-
26
Lee Buchanan ↑ 86'
- 17
- 39
Coach
Liam Rosenior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Kyrell Lisbie | 2 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Jerry Yates | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Connor Mahoney | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

