Saturday , 14 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Sat 5 Dec 2020 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45+2' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Alan Young
  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Derek Eaton
  • Referee Simon Bennett

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Derby County FC H 0–1 L
02 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–2 L
28 Nov Birmingham City FC A 0–0 D
25 Nov Reading FC H 1–1 D
21 Nov Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
07 Nov Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Millwall FC A 1–0 W
01 Dec Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
28 Nov Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
25 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 0–3 L
21 Nov Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
07 Nov Barnsley FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#16 Position #23
18 Points 10
15 Played 15
5 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
23 Scored 14
27 Conceded 30
-4 GD -16
1.20 PPG 0.67
33% Win % 13%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds The Den will turn into a battlefield for Millwall FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Turkey international Colin Kazim-Richards has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jason Knight made 400 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Krystian Bielik has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Murray Wallace is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Graeme Shinnie will be fuming at that decision.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shane Ferguson, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 44' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 49' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' Krystian Bielik is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
  • 58' Troy Parrott has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ben Thompson on 58 minute.
  • 63' Mahlon Romeo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 397 appearances.
  • 64' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Duane Holmes by Martyn Waghorn on 64 minute.
  • 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jason Knight makes it 0-1.
  • 74' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 76' Millwall FC make a change. Matt Smith trudges off to be replaced by Jon Dadi Bodvarsson on 76 minutes.
  • 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Liam Rosenior might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Martyn Waghorn.
  • 86' Controversy at the stadium! Colin Kazim-Richards argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 86' Lee Buchanan gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Colin Kazim-Richards and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 90' The whistle greets Ryan Leonard as he departs to be replaced by Shaun Williams.
  • Millwall FC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC49% Draw27% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC37% Draw46% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.