Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alan Young
- Referee Darren England
- Referee Derek Eaton
- Referee Simon Bennett
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Nov | Reading FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Nov | Cardiff City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Nov | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Nov | Barnsley FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 83 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 64 | Scored | 67 |
| 49 | Conceded | 59 |
| +15 | GD | +8 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 52% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Ryan Leonard has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' England international Martyn Waghorn has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Millwall FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 34' Graeme Shinnie is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
- 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 49' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 54' Max Bird is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
- 58' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 58.
- 58' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Ben Thompson is withdrawn and Troy Parrott gets his opportunity.
- 63' Craig Forsyth needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 64' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Duane Holmes is withdrawn and Martyn Waghorn gets his opportunity.
- 69' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jason Knight on 69.
- 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 76' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Matt Smith is replaced by Jon Dadi Bodvarsson on 76 minute.
- 81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mahlon Romeo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 85' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Martyn Waghorn.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Colin Kazim-Richards.
- 86' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Lee Buchanan comes on to replace Colin Kazim-Richards.
- 87' Nathan Byrne is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- 90' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Ryan Leonard by Shaun Williams on 90 minute.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Ben Thompson ↓ Troy Parrott 58'
- 19
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↓ Shaun Williams 90'
-
11
Shane Ferguson ↓ Tyler Burey 76'
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 7
- 3
- 33
- 10
Bench
- 1
-
22
Jon Daði Boðvarsson ↑ 76'
-
32
Tyler Burey ↑ 76'
-
6
Shaun Williams ↑ 90'
- 26
- 15
- 29
-
25
Troy Parrott ↑ 58'
- 35
Coach
Gary Rowett
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 33
-
25
Duane Holmes ↓ Martyn Waghorn 64'
- 1
- 5
- 12
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↓ Max Bird 64'
- 13
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↓ Andre Wisdom 90'
- 38
Bench
- 11
- 21
-
2
Andre Wisdom ↑ 90'
-
8
Max Bird ↑ 64'
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 64'
-
26
Lee Buchanan ↑ 86'
- 17
- 39
Coach
Liam Rosenior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Scott Malone | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
| Tyler Burey | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
59%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

