Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 14:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Matt Clarke
0–2 49' Finn Azaz
0–4 60' Alex Gilbert
Josh Bowler 90+2' 1–4

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Simpson
  • Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
  • Assistant 2 Natalie Aspinall

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Middlesbrough FC H 1–4 L
20 Apr Southampton FC H 2–1 W
13 Apr Millwall FC A 1–3 L
10 Apr Birmingham City FC A 1–0 W
06 Apr Hull City AFC H 1–3 L
01 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Cardiff City FC A 4–1 W
22 Apr Leeds United FC H 3–4 L
13 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Hull City AFC A 2–2 D
06 Apr Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
01 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC27% Draw26% Middlesbrough FC47%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
73%
Cardiff City FC or Middlesbrough FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cardiff City FC20% Draw42% Middlesbrough FC38%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.