Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 27 Aug 2022 · 14:00 UTC Riverside Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Swansea City AFC H 2–1 W
20 Aug Reading FC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Stoke City FC A 2–2 D
14 Aug Sheffield United FC H 2–2 D
06 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–3 L
30 Jul West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
20 Aug Luton Town FC H 0–2 L
16 Aug Millwall FC H 2–2 D
13 Aug Blackpool FC A 1–0 W
06 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–3 L
30 Jul Rotherham United FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Swansea City AFC
#5 Position #11
80 Points 64
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 18 / 10 / 18
72 Scored 57
47 Conceded 59
+25 GD -2
1.74 PPG 1.39
48% Win % 39%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC52% Draw26% Swansea City AFC22%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
48%
Middlesbrough FC or Swansea City AFC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC35% Draw46% Swansea City AFC19%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.