Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | Stoke City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | Southampton FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Preston North End FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Norwich City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | Norwich City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | Southampton FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #7 |
| 15 | Points | 13 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 |
| 16 | Scored | 13 |
| 12 | Conceded | 12 |
| +4 | GD | +1 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Middlesbrough FC launch into their encounter with Stoke City FC.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Matty Crooks | 2 |
| Joon-ho Bae | 2 |
| Ashley Fletcher | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 1 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Finn Azaz | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-09-30
Middlesbrough FC
0–0
Stoke City FC
D
2025-09-27
Southampton FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-09-19
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
2025-09-13
Preston North End FC
2–2
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-08-30
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Sheffield United FC
W
2025-08-23
Norwich City FC
1–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Stoke City FC
52%
Middlesbrough FC or Stoke City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

