Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 30 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee David Webb
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
27 Sep Southampton FC A 1–1 D
19 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
30 Aug Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
23 Aug Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
27 Sep Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
30 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L
23 Aug Southampton FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Stoke City FC
#3 Position #7
15 Points 13
8 Played 8
4 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
16 Scored 13
12 Conceded 12
+4 GD +1
1.88 PPG 1.63
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Middlesbrough FC launch into their encounter with Stoke City FC.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC48% Draw26% Stoke City FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Stoke City FC
52%
Middlesbrough FC or Stoke City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC34% Draw46% Stoke City FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.