Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Salisbury
3 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | Southampton FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 May | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Stoke City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Leicester City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | Oxford United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Aug | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Cambridge United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #10 |
| 13 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 5 / 1 |
| 13 | Scored | 12 |
| 12 | Conceded | 11 |
| +1 | GD | +1 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Birmingham City FC
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
| Demarai Gray | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Stoke City FC have kicked off against Birmingham City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- Stoke City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 3 |
| Jordan Thompson | 2 |
| Harlee Dean | 2 |
| Tyrese Campbell | 2 |
| Jay Stansfield | 2 |
| Sam Vokes | 1 |
| Lynden Gooch | 1 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-09-13
Stoke City FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-08-29
Leicester City FC
2–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-08-23
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Oxford United FC
W
2025-08-16
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-08-08
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Ipswich Town FC
D
2025-05-03
Cambridge United FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
53%
Stoke City FC or Birmingham City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Stoke City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

