Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
30 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L
23 Aug Southampton FC A 2–1 W
16 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
09 Aug Derby County FC H 3–1 W
03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
29 Aug Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
23 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
16 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
08 Aug Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
03 May Cambridge United FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Birmingham City FC
#7 Position #10
13 Points 11
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 5 / 1
13 Scored 12
12 Conceded 11
+1 GD +1
1.63 PPG 1.38
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G
Birmingham City FC
Phil Neumann 2 G
Demarai Gray 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC47% Draw27% Birmingham City FC26%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
53%
Stoke City FC or Birmingham City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC32% Draw47% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.