Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
30 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L
23 Aug Southampton FC A 2–1 W
16 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
09 Aug Derby County FC H 3–1 W
03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
29 Aug Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
23 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
16 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
08 Aug Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
03 May Cambridge United FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Birmingham City FC
#17 Position #10
55 Points 64
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 17 / 13 / 16
51 Scored 57
56 Conceded 56
-5 GD +1
1.20 PPG 1.39
33% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC44% Draw29% Birmingham City FC27%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
56%
Stoke City FC or Birmingham City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC28% Draw52% Birmingham City FC20%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.