Oxford United FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Oxford United FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ben Toner

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Oxford United FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-22 Oxford United FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC 2025-03-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Oxford United FC 2024-11-23 Oxford United FC 2–6 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–1	D
08 Nov	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	1–2	L
04 Nov	Stoke City FC	H	0–3	L
01 Nov	Millwall FC	H	2–2	D
25 Oct	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–1	W
22 Oct	Wrexham AFC	A	0–1	L

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Nov	Oxford United FC	A	1–1	D
08 Nov	Birmingham City FC	H	2–1	W
04 Nov	Leicester City FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Watford FC	A	0–3	L
25 Oct	Wrexham AFC	H	1–1	D
22 Oct	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Oxford United FC		Middlesbrough FC
#22	Position	#5
47	Points	80
46	Played	46
11 / 14 / 21	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
45	Scored	72
59	Conceded	47
-14	GD	+25
1.02	PPG	1.74
24%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Oxford United FC and Middlesbrough FC is underway.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Emmanuel Latte Lath	3
Finn Azaz	2
Tommy Conway	1
Dane Scarlett	1
Greg Leigh	1
Kelechi Iheanacho	1
Neto Borges	1
Michal Helik	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.07 Oxford United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.77 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Oxford United FC26% Draw27% Middlesbrough FC47%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.84

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw

53%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

74%

Oxford United FC or Middlesbrough FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oxford United FC18% Draw45% Middlesbrough FC37%

Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

0 – 0

7.7%

2 – 1

5.7%

1 – 3

5.6%

1 – 0

5.4%

0 – 3

5.2%

2 – 2

2 – 0

3.3%

2 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap	Oxford United FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	23%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	16%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.