Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

5 – 3

Full Time

Newcastle United Jets FC

Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 27' Carl Jenkinson

Y 58' Trent Buhagiar

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Newcastle United Jets FC 26 games · 48 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Jonathon Barreiro
Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 2.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 17 games · Avg 3.2 goals Newcastle United Jets FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC 2023-02-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Newcastle United Jets FC 2022-04-16 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-02-12 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Newcastle United Jets FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	5–3	W
21 Oct	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
29 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
15 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–2	L
09 Apr	Perth Glory FC	H	0–0	D

Newcastle United Jets FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	Melbourne Victory FC	A	3–5	L
22 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	2–2	D
29 Apr	Sydney FC	A	0–2	L
22 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
14 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
08 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Newcastle United Jets FC
#4	Position	#1
40	Points	48
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 3 / 8
44	Scored	55
33	Conceded	39
+11	GD	+16
1.54	PPG	1.85
42%	Win %	58%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United Jets FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Newcastle United Jets FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/3

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Newcastle United Jets FC

Eli Adams	10 G	4 A
Clayton Taylor	9 G	3 A
Lachlan Rose	8 G	1 A
Xavier Bertoncello	7 G	1 A
Lachlan Bayliss	5 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Melbourne Victory FC to score. At the same time, Newcastle United Jets FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
6' Brilliant from the ! Mark Natta makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 6.
8' A goal from the Australia international Bruno Fornaroli! He fires home on 8 to make it 1-1!
13' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
18' Brandon O'Neill has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
23' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
27' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Carl Jenkinson on 27 minutes.
31' Melbourne Victory FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bruno Fornaroli on 31.
36' Newcastle United Jets FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
40' What composure from Bruno Fornaroli! The Australia international strokes it home. 3-1.
45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Newcastle United Jets FC that had 206 games and scored 277 goals.
46' The whistle greets Jason Hoffman as he departs to be replaced by Phillip Cancar.
48' Bruno Fornaroli doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
49' Magnificent from Clayton Taylor! That is 15 goals in 206 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
54' Newcastle United Jets FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
55' What a strike from Nishan Velupillay! The score is 5-2.
58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Trent Buhagiar.
63' Daniel Wilmering has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
66' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 66 minute. Nishan Velupillay leaves to be changed by Ben Folami.
67' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Daniel Arzani by Chris Ikonomidis on 67 minute.
72' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
74' Brilliant from the ! Clayton Taylor makes it 5-3 with a superb finish on 74.
75' The crowd applauds Kosta Grozos as he leaves the pitch. Callum Timmins steps in for Newcastle United Jets FC.
80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
84' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Rai Marchan has done his job and it is now time for Connor Chapman to step up.
89' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Popović will be considering his options from the bench.
90' Newcastle United Jets FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel Wilmering is hanging Lucas Mauragis on the field on 90 minute.
It finishes all square. Melbourne Victory FC and Newcastle United Jets FC share the spoils 5-3.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 66'
16
Stefan Nigro ↑ 46'
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 67'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 67'
14
Connor Chapman ↑ 84'
24
Eli Adams
40
Christian Siciliano

Coach Tony Popović

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

Starting XI

25
Carl Jenkinson ↓ Dane Ingham 46'
15
Jason Berthomier ↓ Trent Buhagiar 46'
3
Jason Hoffman ↓ Phillip Cancar 46'
1
Ryan Scott
5
Lucas Mauragis ↓ Daniel Wilmering 90'
33
Mark Natta
6
Brandon O'Neill
17
Kosta Grozos ↓ Callum Timmins 75'
8
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
13
Clayton Taylor
37
Lachlan Bayliss

Bench

7
Trent Buhagiar ↑ 46'
23
Daniel Wilmering ↑ 90'
19
Callum Timmins ↑ 75'
18
Daniel Stynes
22
Phillip Cancar ↑ 46'
20
Michael Weier
14
Dane Ingham ↑ 46'

Coach Robert Stanton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	5
Clayton Taylor	4
Nishan Velupillay	3
Beka Mikeltadze	3
Valentino Yuel	2
Jake Brimmer	2
Charles Nduka	2
Eli Adams	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2023-04-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2023-04-09 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Perth Glory FC D

Newcastle United Jets FC Form

2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2023-10-22 Perth Glory FC 2–2 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2023-04-29 Sydney FC 2–0 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2023-04-22 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2023-04-14 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2023-04-08 Brisbane Roar FC 3–0 Newcastle United Jets FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.39 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.71 Newcastle United Jets FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC54% Draw21% Newcastle United Jets FC25%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC

46%

Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC40% Draw37% Newcastle United Jets FC23%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 2

5.3%

2 – 0

4.9%

2 – 3

3.8%

3 – 0

3.8%

4 – 1

3.7%

1 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	15%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	19%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.