Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

5 – 3

Full Time

Newcastle United Jets FC

Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 27' Carl Jenkinson

Y 58' Trent Buhagiar

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Newcastle United Jets FC 26 games · 48 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Jonathon Barreiro
Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 2.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 17 games · Avg 3.2 goals Newcastle United Jets FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC 2023-02-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Newcastle United Jets FC 2022-04-16 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-02-12 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Newcastle United Jets FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	5–3	W
21 Oct	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
29 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
15 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–2	L
09 Apr	Perth Glory FC	H	0–0	D

Newcastle United Jets FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	Melbourne Victory FC	A	3–5	L
22 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	2–2	D
29 Apr	Sydney FC	A	0–2	L
22 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
14 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
08 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Newcastle United Jets FC
#4	Position	#1
40	Points	48
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 3 / 8
44	Scored	55
33	Conceded	39
+11	GD	+16
1.54	PPG	1.85
42%	Win %	58%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United Jets FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Newcastle United Jets FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/3

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Newcastle United Jets FC

Eli Adams	10 G	4 A
Clayton Taylor	9 G	3 A
Lachlan Rose	8 G	1 A
Xavier Bertoncello	7 G	1 A
Lachlan Bayliss	5 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Melbourne Victory FC kicks off things out of here…
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
6' Mark Natta does the damage! The net is bulging and Newcastle United Jets FC surge ahead!
8' What an equalizer from Bruno Fornaroli!
13' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
18' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Carl Jenkinson on 27.
31' Bruno Fornaroli with the second goal in the match!
36' Newcastle United Jets FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
40' Brilliant from the ! Bruno Fornaroli makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 40.
45' Trent Buhagiar needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
46' Time for substitution for Newcastle United Jets FC. Jason Hoffman is replaced by Phillip Cancar.
48' GOAL! Bruno Fornaroli scores on 45. Assisted by Adama Traore
49' Clayton Taylor does the damage! The net is bulging and Newcastle United Jets FC surge ahead!
54' Newcastle United Jets FC have won 277 goals from 206 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
55' The Australia Nishan Velupillay breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 5-2!
58' It’s gonna be a card for Trent Buhagiar.
63' It looks surprising Newcastle United Jets FC does not make any changes. Daniel Wilmering has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
66' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Nishan Velupillay is replaced by Ben Folami.
67' The whistle greets Daniel Arzani as he departs to be replaced by Chris Ikonomidis.
72' Newcastle United Jets FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
74' A stunning finish from Clayton Taylor — that came from absolutely nowhere!
75' Time for substitution for Newcastle United Jets FC. Kosta Grozos is replaced by Callum Timmins.
80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
84' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Connor Chapman is hanging Rai Marchan on the field on 84 minute.
89' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
90' Time for substitution for Newcastle United Jets FC. Lucas Mauragis is replaced by Daniel Wilmering.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 66'
16
Stefan Nigro ↑ 46'
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 67'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 67'
14
Connor Chapman ↑ 84'
24
Eli Adams
40
Christian Siciliano

Coach Tony Popović

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

Starting XI

25
Carl Jenkinson ↓ Dane Ingham 46'
15
Jason Berthomier ↓ Trent Buhagiar 46'
3
Jason Hoffman ↓ Phillip Cancar 46'
1
Ryan Scott
5
Lucas Mauragis ↓ Daniel Wilmering 90'
33
Mark Natta
6
Brandon O'Neill
17
Kosta Grozos ↓ Callum Timmins 75'
8
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
13
Clayton Taylor
37
Lachlan Bayliss

Bench

7
Trent Buhagiar ↑ 46'
23
Daniel Wilmering ↑ 90'
19
Callum Timmins ↑ 75'
18
Daniel Stynes
22
Phillip Cancar ↑ 46'
20
Michael Weier
14
Dane Ingham ↑ 46'

Coach Robert Stanton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	5
Clayton Taylor	4
Beka Mikeltadze	3
Nishan Velupillay	3
Eli Adams	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2
Terry Antonis	2
Chris Ikonomidis	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2023-04-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2023-04-09 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Perth Glory FC D

Newcastle United Jets FC Form

2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2023-10-22 Perth Glory FC 2–2 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2023-04-29 Sydney FC 2–0 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2023-04-22 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2023-04-14 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2023-04-08 Brisbane Roar FC 3–0 Newcastle United Jets FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.39 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.71 Newcastle United Jets FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC54% Draw21% Newcastle United Jets FC25%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC

46%

Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC40% Draw37% Newcastle United Jets FC23%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 2

5.3%

2 – 0

4.9%

2 – 3

3.8%

3 – 0

3.8%

4 – 1

3.7%

1 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	15%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	19%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.