Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

5 – 3

Full Time

Newcastle United Jets FC

Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 27' Carl Jenkinson

Y 58' Trent Buhagiar

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Newcastle United Jets FC 26 games · 48 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jonathon Barreiro
Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 17 games · Avg 3.2 goals Newcastle United Jets FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC 2023-02-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Newcastle United Jets FC 2022-04-16 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-02-12 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Newcastle United Jets FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	5–3	W
21 Oct	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
29 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
15 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–2	L
09 Apr	Perth Glory FC	H	0–0	D

Newcastle United Jets FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	Melbourne Victory FC	A	3–5	L
22 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	2–2	D
29 Apr	Sydney FC	A	0–2	L
22 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
14 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
08 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Newcastle United Jets FC
#4	Position	#1
40	Points	48
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 3 / 8
44	Scored	55
33	Conceded	39
+11	GD	+16
1.54	PPG	1.85
42%	Win %	58%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Australia international Daniel Arzani has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
6' Mark Natta does the damage! The net is bulging and Newcastle United Jets FC surge ahead!
8' Bruno Fornaroli is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
13' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Newcastle United Jets FC that had 206 games and scored 277 goals.
18' It’s high time Tony Popović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
23' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
27' The referee shows Newcastle United Jets FC player a card on 27.
31' The Australia Bruno Fornaroli breaks the deadlock on 31 minutes. 2-1!
36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
40' Bruno Fornaroli adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
46' Phillip Cancar gets the nod from Newcastle United Jets FC. He replaces Jason Hoffman and will look to change the dynamic.
48' Bruno Fornaroli doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
49' The Australia Clayton Taylor breaks the deadlock on 49 minutes. 4-2!
54' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
55' What a moment for Nishan Velupillay! That strike on 55 puts his side firmly in control.
58' That is a card for Newcastle United Jets FC. Trent Buhagiar will be fuming at that decision.
63' Jason Geria needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
66' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Ben Folami on, Nishan Velupillay off on 66 minutes.
67' Chris Ikonomidis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Arzani on 67 minute.
72' The 26-year-old Callum Timmins has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
74' What composure from Clayton Taylor! The Australia international strokes it home. 5-3.
75' Time for substitution for Newcastle United Jets FC. Kosta Grozos is replaced by Callum Timmins.
80' Newcastle United Jets FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
84' Connor Chapman gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Rai Marchan and will look to change the dynamic.
89' Damien da Silva is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
90' The Newcastle United Jets FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Mauragis departs to be replaced by Daniel Wilmering.
Melbourne Victory FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 66'
16
Stefan Nigro ↑ 46'
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 67'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 67'
14
Connor Chapman ↑ 84'
24
Eli Adams
40
Christian Siciliano

Coach Tony Popović

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

Starting XI

25
Carl Jenkinson ↓ Dane Ingham 46'
15
Jason Berthomier ↓ Trent Buhagiar 46'
3
Jason Hoffman ↓ Phillip Cancar 46'
1
Ryan Scott
5
Lucas Mauragis ↓ Daniel Wilmering 90'
33
Mark Natta
6
Brandon O'Neill
17
Kosta Grozos ↓ Callum Timmins 75'
8
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
13
Clayton Taylor
37
Lachlan Bayliss

Bench

7
Trent Buhagiar ↑ 46'
23
Daniel Wilmering ↑ 90'
19
Callum Timmins ↑ 75'
18
Daniel Stynes
22
Phillip Cancar ↑ 46'
20
Michael Weier
14
Dane Ingham ↑ 46'

Coach Robert Stanton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	5
Clayton Taylor	4
Beka Mikeltadze	3
Nishan Velupillay	3
Jake Brimmer	2
Charles Nduka	2
Eli Adams	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2023-04-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2023-04-09 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Perth Glory FC D

Newcastle United Jets FC Form

2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2023-10-22 Perth Glory FC 2–2 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2023-04-29 Sydney FC 2–0 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2023-04-22 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2023-04-14 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2023-04-08 Brisbane Roar FC 3–0 Newcastle United Jets FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.39 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.71 Newcastle United Jets FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC54% Draw21% Newcastle United Jets FC25%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC

46%

Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC40% Draw37% Newcastle United Jets FC23%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 2

5.3%

2 – 0

4.9%

2 – 3

3.8%

3 – 0

3.8%

4 – 1

3.7%

1 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	15%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	19%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.