Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 08:45 UTC Sydney Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Sydney Football Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Lara Lee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Melbourne Victory FC H 0–2 L
19 May Melbourne City FC A 0–4 L
12 May Melbourne City FC H 1–1 D
06 May Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
29 Apr Newcastle United Jets FC H 2–0 W
24 Apr Brisbane Roar FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Sydney FC A 2–0 W
29 Apr Brisbane Roar FC H 0–1 L
23 Apr Macarthur FC H 2–1 W
15 Apr Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
09 Apr Perth Glory FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Melbourne City FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Sydney FC Melbourne Victory FC
#5 Position #4
39 Points 40
26 Played 26
11 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
33 Scored 44
25 Conceded 33
+8 GD +11
1.50 PPG 1.54
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Melbourne Victory FC get us underway at Sydney Football Stadium.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Jake Girdwood-Reich is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sydney FC tonight.
  • 25' Sydney FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
  • 30' It’s high time Tony Popović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' A moment of madness from Luke Brattan on 35 minutes earns him a card. Sydney FC will be frustrated.
  • 40' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Jordan Courtney-Perkins has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Sydney FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 48' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
  • 53' With 1 assists to his name this season, Max Burgess is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sydney FC.
  • 58' Connor Chapman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 150 appearances.
  • 62' The Australia Bruno Fornaroli breaks the deadlock on 62 minutes. 0-1!
  • 66' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Daniel Arzani has done his job and it is now time for Chris Ikonomidis to step up.
  • 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stefan Nigro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 76' The referee calls foul for Rai Marchan. He receives a card.
  • 78' Sydney FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
  • 79' Rai Marchan makes way for Connor Chapman at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 83' Mitchell Glasson gets the nod from Sydney FC. He replaces Max Burgess and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' A stunning finish from Zinedine Machach — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' Chris Ikonomidis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' Jake Brimmer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zinedine Machach on 90 minute.
  • 0-2 the final result. Sydney FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 Sydney FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sydney FC33% Draw29% Melbourne Victory FC38%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
67%
Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sydney FC23% Draw48% Melbourne Victory FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap Sydney FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.