Thursday , 2 July 2026

Newcastle United Jets FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 24 Oct 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United Jets FC vs Melbourne Victory FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

Season Stats

Newcastle United Jets FC Melbourne Victory FC
#1 Position #4
48 Points 40
26 Played 26
15 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
55 Scored 44
39 Conceded 33
+16 GD +11
1.85 PPG 1.54
58% Win % 42%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United Jets FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United Jets FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
/3
76+
4/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United Jets FC
Eli Adams 10 G 4 A
Clayton Taylor 9 G 3 A
Lachlan Rose 8 G 1 A
Xavier Bertoncello 7 G 1 A
Lachlan Bayliss 5 G 3 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.69 Newcastle United Jets FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United Jets FC56% Draw20% Melbourne Victory FC24%
Actual: Newcastle United Jets FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Newcastle United Jets FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
44%
Newcastle United Jets FC or Melbourne Victory FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United Jets FC43% Draw35% Melbourne Victory FC22%
Actual: Newcastle United Jets FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
6.3%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.3%
4 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United Jets FC

Handicap Newcastle United Jets FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 16% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 19% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 12% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.