Newcastle United Jets FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

A League · 2025-26

Newcastle United Jets FC

5 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 24 Oct 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United Jets FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Newcastle United Jets FC 26 games · 48 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Newcastle United Jets FC 17 games · Avg 3.2 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-24 Newcastle United Jets FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-03 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC

Recent Form

Newcastle United Jets FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Oct	Melbourne Victory FC	H	5–2	W
19 Oct	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	2–3	L
04 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
26 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Sydney FC	A	2–3	L
12 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	6–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	2–5	L
18 Oct	Auckland FC	H	0–0	D
04 May	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–1	D
25 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
19 Apr	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

Newcastle United Jets FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#1	Position	#4
48	Points	40
26	Played	26
15 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
55	Scored	44
39	Conceded	33
+16	GD	+11
1.85	PPG	1.54
58%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
With this win, Newcastle United Jets FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	5
Clayton Taylor	4
Beka Mikeltadze	3
Nishan Velupillay	3
Eli Adams	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2
Terry Antonis	2
Chris Ikonomidis	2

Head to Head

Newcastle United Jets FC Form

2025-10-24 Newcastle United Jets FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-10-19 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–2 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-26 Newcastle United Jets FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-04-20 Sydney FC 3–2 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-04-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 6–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-10-24 Newcastle United Jets FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-10-18 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Auckland FC D 2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-25 Macarthur FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-04-19 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.69 Newcastle United Jets FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.77 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Newcastle United Jets FC56% Draw20% Melbourne Victory FC24%

Actual: Newcastle United Jets FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.46

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

Newcastle United Jets FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

44%

Newcastle United Jets FC or Melbourne Victory FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Newcastle United Jets FC43% Draw35% Melbourne Victory FC22%

Actual: Newcastle United Jets FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted

5 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.3%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 1

6.3%

3 – 2

5.6%

1 – 2

4.9%

2 – 0

4.4%

4 – 1

4.3%

4 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

3.7%

3 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United Jets FC

Handicap	Newcastle United Jets FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	16%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	19%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	12%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.