Newcastle United Jets FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Newcastle United Jets FC

5 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 24 Oct 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United Jets FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Newcastle United Jets FC 4 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Newcastle United Jets FC 17 games · Avg 3.2 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-24 Newcastle United Jets FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-03 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC

Recent Form

Newcastle United Jets FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Oct	Melbourne Victory FC	H	5–2	W
19 Oct	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	2–3	L
04 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
26 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Sydney FC	A	2–3	L
12 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	6–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	2–5	L
18 Oct	Auckland FC	H	0–0	D
04 May	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–1	D
25 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
19 Apr	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

Newcastle United Jets FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#10	Position	#9
2	Points	3
4	Played	4
0 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	0 / 3 / 1
4	Scored	5
8	Conceded	6
-4	GD	-1
0.50	PPG	0.75
0%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United Jets FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Newcastle United Jets FC are 10th (2 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United Jets FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United Jets FC

Patrick Wood	1 G
Nikolaos Vergos	1 G
Xavier Bertoncello	1 G

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Newcastle United Jets FC to score. At the same time, Melbourne Victory FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
It finishes all square. Newcastle United Jets FC and Melbourne Victory FC share the spoils 5-2.

Lineups

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	5
Clayton Taylor	4
Beka Mikeltadze	3
Nishan Velupillay	3
Jake Brimmer	2
Charles Nduka	2
Eli Adams	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2

Head to Head

Newcastle United Jets FC Form

2025-10-24 Newcastle United Jets FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-10-19 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–2 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-26 Newcastle United Jets FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-04-20 Sydney FC 3–2 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-04-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 6–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-10-24 Newcastle United Jets FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-10-18 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Auckland FC D 2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-25 Macarthur FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-04-19 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.22 Newcastle United Jets FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.77 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Newcastle United Jets FC50% Draw22% Melbourne Victory FC28%

Actual: Newcastle United Jets FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.99

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Newcastle United Jets FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

50%

Newcastle United Jets FC or Melbourne Victory FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Newcastle United Jets FC37% Draw38% Melbourne Victory FC25%

Actual: Newcastle United Jets FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted

5 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

8.1%

2 – 1

7.9%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

6.3%

3 – 1

5.8%

3 – 2

2 – 0

4.7%

2 – 3

1 – 0

3.7%

1 – 3

3.7%

3 – 0

3.4%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United Jets FC

Handicap	Newcastle United Jets FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	14%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	19%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	15%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.