Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Newcastle United Jets FC

Sun 4 May 2025 · 07:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 60' Kota Mizunuma

Jordi Valadon 67' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Newcastle United Jets FC 26 games · 48 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Joanna Charaktis (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 17 games · Avg 3.2 goals Newcastle United Jets FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-03 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC 2023-02-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–1	D
25 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
19 Apr	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
29 Mar	Adelaide United FC	H	5–3	W
15 Mar	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–4	L

Newcastle United Jets FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
26 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Sydney FC	A	2–3	L
12 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	6–0	W
06 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–2	L
28 Mar	Macarthur FC	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Newcastle United Jets FC
#4	Position	#1
40	Points	48
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 3 / 8
44	Scored	55
33	Conceded	39
+11	GD	+16
1.54	PPG	1.85
42%	Win %	58%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United Jets FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Newcastle United Jets FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/3

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Newcastle United Jets FC

Eli Adams	10 G	4 A
Clayton Taylor	9 G	3 A
Lachlan Rose	8 G	1 A
Xavier Bertoncello	7 G	1 A
Lachlan Bayliss	5 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Melbourne Victory FC and Newcastle United Jets FC get this one started.
5' The 36-year-old Kota Mizunuma has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
10' Newcastle United Jets FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Newcastle United Jets FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ben Gibson made 206 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
35' Melbourne Victory FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Newcastle United Jets FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
45' Ryan Scott has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 150 appearances.
46' Lachlan Bayliss has so much to prove this time. He replaces Charles M'Mombwa on 46 minute.
47' What a strike from Kasey Bos! The score is 1-0.
52' Nishan Velupillay is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Newcastle United Jets FC so far.
57' It looks like no one’s ball. Newcastle United Jets FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
60' The referee shows Newcastle United Jets FC player a card on 60.
65' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Newcastle United Jets FC's shape.
66' Newcastle United Jets FC make a change. Eli Adams trudges off to be replaced by Dane Ingham on 66 minutes.
67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jordi Valadon.
69' Alex Badolato gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Daniel Arzani and will look to change the dynamic.
70' The Newcastle United Jets FC bench stirs into life. Lachlan Rose is withdrawn and Ben Gibson gets his opportunity.
75' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Nikolaos Vergos trudges off to be replaced by Bruno Fornaroli on 75 minutes.
80' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Newcastle United Jets FC backline.
83' Clayton Taylor does the damage! The net is bulging and Newcastle United Jets FC surge ahead!
87' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Brendan Hamill comes on to replace Lachlan Jackson.
88' The whistle greets Zinedine Machach as he departs to be replaced by Joshua Rawlins.
89' Newcastle United Jets FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Wellissol is hanging Kota Mizunuma on the field on 89 minute.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Brendan Hamill ↑ 87'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 75'
3
Adama Traore
22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 88'
23
Alex Badolato ↑ 69'
30
Daniel Graskoski
11
Clarismario ↑ 69'

Coach Arthur Diles

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

Starting XI

18
Kota Mizunuma ↓ Wellissol 89'
20
Charles M'Mombwa ↓ Lachlan Bayliss 46'
23
Daniel Wilmering
19
Callum Timmins
1
Ryan Scott
9
Lachlan Rose ↓ Ben Gibson 70'
33
Mark Natta
4
Phillip Cancar
39
Thomas Aquilina
7
Eli Adams ↓ Dane Ingham 66'
13
Clayton Taylor

Bench

21
Noah James
10
Wellissol ↑ 89'
6
Matthew Scarcella
14
Dane Ingham ↑ 66'
37
Lachlan Bayliss ↑ 46'
29
Justin Vidic
22
Ben Gibson ↑ 70'

Coach Robert Stanton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	5
Clayton Taylor	4
Beka Mikeltadze	3
Nishan Velupillay	3
Jake Brimmer	2
Charles Nduka	2
Eli Adams	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-25 Macarthur FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-04-19 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC W 2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC L

Newcastle United Jets FC Form

2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-26 Newcastle United Jets FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-04-20 Sydney FC 3–2 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-04-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 6–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-04-06 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-03-28 Macarthur FC 3–3 Newcastle United Jets FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.94 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Newcastle United Jets FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC43% Draw23% Newcastle United Jets FC34%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC

57%

Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC31% Draw39% Newcastle United Jets FC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

3 – 2

4.5%

2 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

1 – 0

3.8%

0 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	17%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.