Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Newcastle United Jets FC

Sun 4 May 2025 · 07:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 60' Kota Mizunuma

Jordi Valadon 67' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Newcastle United Jets FC 26 games · 48 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Joanna Charaktis (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 17 games · Avg 3.2 goals Newcastle United Jets FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-03 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC 2023-02-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–1	D
25 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
19 Apr	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
29 Mar	Adelaide United FC	H	5–3	W
15 Mar	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–4	L

Newcastle United Jets FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
26 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Sydney FC	A	2–3	L
12 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	6–0	W
06 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–2	L
28 Mar	Macarthur FC	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Newcastle United Jets FC
#4	Position	#1
40	Points	48
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 3 / 8
44	Scored	55
33	Conceded	39
+11	GD	+16
1.54	PPG	1.85
42%	Win %	58%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United Jets FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Newcastle United Jets FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/3

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Newcastle United Jets FC

Eli Adams	10 G	4 A
Clayton Taylor	9 G	3 A
Lachlan Rose	8 G	1 A
Xavier Bertoncello	7 G	1 A
Lachlan Bayliss	5 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Newcastle United Jets FC get us underway at AAMI Park.
5' Mark Natta needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Robert Stanton will be considering his options from the bench.
15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Newcastle United Jets FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
30' Australia international Joshua Inserra has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
35' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Newcastle United Jets FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
40' Newcastle United Jets FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
45' Kasey Bos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
46' Another substitution for Newcastle United Jets FC to replace Charles M'Mombwa by Lachlan Bayliss on 46 minute.
47' Kasey Bos puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
52' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nishan Velupillay suffering a number of foals already.
57' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
60' Kota Mizunuma has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
65' It’s high time Robert Stanton made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
66' Newcastle United Jets FC make a change. Eli Adams trudges off to be replaced by Dane Ingham on 66 minutes.
67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jordi Valadon on 67.
69' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Daniel Arzani exits the field as Alex Badolato enters on 69.
70' Time for substitution for Newcastle United Jets FC. Lachlan Rose is replaced by Ben Gibson.
75' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Nikolaos Vergos is replaced by Bruno Fornaroli on 75 minute.
80' Newcastle United Jets FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
83' What composure from Clayton Taylor! The Australia international strokes it home. 1-1.
87' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Lachlan Jackson has done his job and it is now time for Brendan Hamill to step up.
88' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Zinedine Machach departs to be replaced by Joshua Rawlins.
89' The Newcastle United Jets FC bench stirs into life. Kota Mizunuma is withdrawn and Wellissol gets his opportunity.
1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Brendan Hamill ↑ 87'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 75'
3
Adama Traore
22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 88'
23
Alex Badolato ↑ 69'
30
Daniel Graskoski
11
Clarismario ↑ 69'

Coach Arthur Diles

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

Starting XI

18
Kota Mizunuma ↓ Wellissol 89'
20
Charles M'Mombwa ↓ Lachlan Bayliss 46'
23
Daniel Wilmering
19
Callum Timmins
1
Ryan Scott
9
Lachlan Rose ↓ Ben Gibson 70'
33
Mark Natta
4
Phillip Cancar
39
Thomas Aquilina
7
Eli Adams ↓ Dane Ingham 66'
13
Clayton Taylor

Bench

21
Noah James
10
Wellissol ↑ 89'
6
Matthew Scarcella
14
Dane Ingham ↑ 66'
37
Lachlan Bayliss ↑ 46'
29
Justin Vidic
22
Ben Gibson ↑ 70'

Coach Robert Stanton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	5
Clayton Taylor	4
Nishan Velupillay	3
Beka Mikeltadze	3
Chris Ikonomidis	2
Valentino Yuel	2
Jake Brimmer	2
Charles Nduka	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-25 Macarthur FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-04-19 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC W 2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC L

Newcastle United Jets FC Form

2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-26 Newcastle United Jets FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-04-20 Sydney FC 3–2 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-04-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 6–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-04-06 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-03-28 Macarthur FC 3–3 Newcastle United Jets FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.94 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Newcastle United Jets FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC43% Draw23% Newcastle United Jets FC34%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC

57%

Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC31% Draw39% Newcastle United Jets FC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

3 – 2

4.5%

2 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

1 – 0

3.8%

0 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	17%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.