Sunday , 15 November 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sun 4 May 2025 · 07:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee Joanna Charaktis (Australia)

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Newcastle United Jets FC
#9 Position #10
3 Points 2
4 Played 4
0 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 2
5 Scored 4
6 Conceded 8
-1 GD -4
0.75 PPG 0.50
0% Win % 0%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United Jets FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 10th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Newcastle United Jets FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Keegan Jelacic 2 G
Jordi Valadon 2 G
Charles Nduka 1 G 2 A
Newcastle United Jets FC
Patrick Wood 1 G
Nikolaos Vergos 1 G
Xavier Bertoncello 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Newcastle United Jets FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC48% Draw24% Newcastle United Jets FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC
52%
Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC35% Draw41% Newcastle United Jets FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.