Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Newcastle United Jets FC

Sun 4 May 2025 · 07:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 60' Kota Mizunuma

Jordi Valadon 67' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Newcastle United Jets FC 26 games · 48 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Joanna Charaktis (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 17 games · Avg 3.2 goals Newcastle United Jets FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-03 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC 2023-02-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–1	D
25 Apr	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
19 Apr	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
29 Mar	Adelaide United FC	H	5–3	W
15 Mar	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–4	L

Newcastle United Jets FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
26 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Sydney FC	A	2–3	L
12 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	6–0	W
06 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–2	L
28 Mar	Macarthur FC	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Newcastle United Jets FC
#4	Position	#1
40	Points	48
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 3 / 8
44	Scored	55
33	Conceded	39
+11	GD	+16
1.54	PPG	1.85
42%	Win %	58%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at AAMI Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Newcastle United Jets FC winning 50% of all matches.
10' Newcastle United Jets FC have won 277 goals from 206 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Newcastle United Jets FC that had 206 games and scored 277 goals.
20' Lachlan Jackson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
30' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Newcastle United Jets FC's compact .
35' It looks like no one’s ball. Newcastle United Jets FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
40' It’s high time Arthur Diles made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
45' Lachlan Rose is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Newcastle United Jets FC tonight.
46' Lachlan Bayliss has so much to prove this time. He replaces Charles M'Mombwa on 46 minute.
47' What a strike from Kasey Bos! The score is 1-0.
52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Diles will be considering his options from the bench.
57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kota Mizunuma.
65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
66' Another substitution for Newcastle United Jets FC to replace Eli Adams by Dane Ingham on 66 minute.
67' Jordi Valadon is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
69' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Alex Badolato on, Daniel Arzani off on 69 minutes.
70' Fresh legs for Newcastle United Jets FC! Ben Gibson comes on to replace Lachlan Rose.
75' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Nikolaos Vergos has done his job and it is now time for Bruno Fornaroli to step up.
80' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
83' What composure from Clayton Taylor! The Australia international strokes it home. 1-1.
87' The crowd applauds Lachlan Jackson as he leaves the pitch. Brendan Hamill steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
88' Joshua Rawlins has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zinedine Machach on 88 minute.
89' Newcastle United Jets FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Wellissol is hanging Kota Mizunuma on the field on 89 minute.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Brendan Hamill ↑ 87'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 75'
3
Adama Traore
22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 88'
23
Alex Badolato ↑ 69'
30
Daniel Graskoski
11
Clarismario ↑ 69'

Coach Arthur Diles

Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups

Starting XI

18
Kota Mizunuma ↓ Wellissol 89'
20
Charles M'Mombwa ↓ Lachlan Bayliss 46'
23
Daniel Wilmering
19
Callum Timmins
1
Ryan Scott
9
Lachlan Rose ↓ Ben Gibson 70'
33
Mark Natta
4
Phillip Cancar
39
Thomas Aquilina
7
Eli Adams ↓ Dane Ingham 66'
13
Clayton Taylor

Bench

21
Noah James
10
Wellissol ↑ 89'
6
Matthew Scarcella
14
Dane Ingham ↑ 66'
37
Lachlan Bayliss ↑ 46'
29
Justin Vidic
22
Ben Gibson ↑ 70'

Coach Robert Stanton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	5
Clayton Taylor	4
Nishan Velupillay	3
Beka Mikeltadze	3
Terry Antonis	2
Chris Ikonomidis	2
Valentino Yuel	2
Jake Brimmer	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-25 Macarthur FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-04-19 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC W 2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC L

Newcastle United Jets FC Form

2025-05-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-04-26 Newcastle United Jets FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-04-20 Sydney FC 3–2 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-04-12 Newcastle United Jets FC 6–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-04-06 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-03-28 Macarthur FC 3–3 Newcastle United Jets FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.94 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Newcastle United Jets FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC43% Draw23% Newcastle United Jets FC34%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Newcastle United Jets FC

57%

Melbourne Victory FC or Newcastle United Jets FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC31% Draw39% Newcastle United Jets FC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

3 – 2

4.5%

2 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

1 – 0

3.8%

0 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Newcastle United Jets FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	17%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.