Sunday , 15 November 2026

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Fri 25 Apr 2025 · 09:35 UTC Campbelltown Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Campbelltown Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Daniel Elder

Recent Form

Season Stats

Macarthur FC Melbourne Victory FC
#7 Position #9
5 Points 3
4 Played 4
1 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 3 / 1
4 Scored 5
4 Conceded 6
+0 GD -1
1.25 PPG 0.75
25% Win % 0%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Macarthur FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Macarthur FC are 7th (5 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Macarthur FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Keegan Jelacic 2 G
Jordi Valadon 2 G
Charles Nduka 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Macarthur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Macarthur FC35% Draw28% Melbourne Victory FC37%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Macarthur FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
65%
Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Macarthur FC27% Draw45% Melbourne Victory FC28%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Macarthur FC

Handicap Macarthur FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.