Thursday , 2 July 2026

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Fri 25 Apr 2025 · 09:35 UTC Campbelltown Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory FCA League at Campbelltown Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Daniel Elder
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

Season Stats

Macarthur FC Melbourne Victory FC
#7 Position #4
34 Points 40
26 Played 26
9 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
37 Scored 44
44 Conceded 33
-7 GD +11
1.31 PPG 1.54
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Macarthur FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Macarthur FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/1
61-75
2/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Macarthur FC
Harry Sawyer 6 G 1 A
Mitchell Duke 5 G 3 A
Luke Vickery 5 G 1 A
Rafael Duran 4 G 2 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Macarthur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Macarthur FC31% Draw25% Melbourne Victory FC44%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Macarthur FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
69%
Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Macarthur FC24% Draw40% Melbourne Victory FC36%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Macarthur FC

Handicap Macarthur FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
14%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.