Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Fri 25 Apr 2025 · 09:35 UTC Campbelltown Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Campbelltown Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Daniel Elder

Recent Form

Season Stats

Macarthur FC Melbourne Victory FC
#7 Position #4
34 Points 40
26 Played 26
9 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
37 Scored 44
44 Conceded 33
-7 GD +11
1.31 PPG 1.54
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Campbelltown Stadium!
  • 4' A goal from the Australia international Ryan Teague! He fires home on 4 to make it 0-1!
  • 9' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 9 minutes.
  • 14' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Lachlan Jackson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' A moment of madness from Daniel Arzani on 15 minutes earns him a card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
  • 20' Luke Brattan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' It’s high time Mile Sterjovski made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 32' Kasey Bos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 36' Goal! Kasey Bos scores his 3 goal in 210 matches.
  • 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' Ivan Vujica makes way for Matthew Jurman at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Macarthur FC.
  • 51' Australia international Joshua Rawlins has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 54' The Macarthur FC manager makes a substitution. Kealey Adamson departs to be replaced by Harry Sawyer.
  • 56' Macarthur FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Macarthur FC and Melbourne Victory FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 66' Macarthur FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 68' Chris Ikonomidis adds to his 0 season tally! Macarthur FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Lachlan Jackson.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Alex Badolato comes on to replace Nishan Velupillay.
  • 78' Dean Bosnjak is ready to make an impact after coming on for Chris Ikonomidis at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Daniel Arzani has done his job and it is now time for Brendan Hamill to step up.
  • 86' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruno Fornaroli is hanging Zinedine Machach on the field on 86 minute.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Jack Duncan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Macarthur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Macarthur FC31% Draw25% Melbourne Victory FC44%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Macarthur FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
69%
Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Macarthur FC24% Draw40% Melbourne Victory FC36%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Macarthur FC

Handicap Macarthur FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.