Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester United FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Thu 16 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Old Trafford 73,722 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Manuel Ugarte og
Amad Diallo 82' 1–1
Amad Diallo 90' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Southampton FCPremier League at Old Trafford.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Southampton FC H 3–1 W
12 Jan Arsenal FC A 5–3 W
05 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
22 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Brentford FC H 0–5 L
29 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Manchester United FC and Southampton FC has kicked off!
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Kamal Deen Sulemana is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Manchester United FC so far.
  • 20' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Manchester United FC and Southampton FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 348 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 43' Goal! Manuel Ugarte scores his 4 goal in 238 matches.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Tyler Dibling. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' Manchester United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Antony is hanging Kobbie Mainoo on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lisandro Martinez.
  • 53' Manchester United FC make a change. Rasmus Hojlund trudges off to be replaced by Joshua Zirkzee on 53 minutes.
  • 54' Fresh legs for Manchester United FC! Toby Collyer comes on to replace Manuel Ugarte.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 63' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Tyler Dibling by William Smallbone on 63 minute.
  • 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ivan Juric will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 73' Adam Armstrong gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Mateus Fernandes and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 79' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 79.
  • 82' Magnificent from Amad Diallo! That is 15 goals in 525 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Manchester United FC. Noussair Mazraoui is replaced by Christian Eriksen.
  • 88' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 90' The deadlock is broken! Amad Diallo gets on the scoresheet on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, Manchester United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC52% Draw26% Southampton FC22%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Southampton FC
48%
Manchester United FC or Southampton FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC33% Draw48% Southampton FC19%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.