Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Manchester City FC vs Liverpool FC, FA Cup 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 11:45 UTC Etihad Stadium 50,754 HT 45' · FT 45'
Erling Haaland pen 39' 1–0
Erling Haaland 45+2' 2–0
Antoine Semenyo 50' 3–0
Erling Haaland 57' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Liverpool FC — FA Cup at Etihad Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Liverpool FC H 4–0 W
17 Mar Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
14 Mar West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
11 Mar Real Madrid CF A 0–3 L
07 Mar Newcastle United FC A 3–1 W
04 Mar Nottingham Forest FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Manchester City FC A 0–4 L
21 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
18 Mar Galatasaray SK H 4–0 W
15 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–1 D
10 Mar Galatasaray SK A 0–1 L
06 Mar Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC54% Draw25% Liverpool FC21%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Liverpool FC
46%
Manchester City FC or Liverpool FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC38% Draw45% Liverpool FC17%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.