Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 30,937 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Manchester City FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Robinson
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Manchester City FC H 0–0 D
03 May Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
26 Apr Fulham FC H 1–2 L
19 Apr West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
06 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Southampton FC A 0–0 D
02 May Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 2–0 W
22 Apr Aston Villa FC H 2–1 W
19 Apr Everton FC A 2–0 W
12 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 5–2 W

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Saint Mary's will turn into a battlefield for Southampton FC and Manchester City FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. James McAtee made 436 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' The travelling Manchester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Manchester City FC that had 436 games and scored 1020 goals.
  • 35' Manchester City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' It looks surprising Manchester City FC does not make any changes. Flynn Downes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' Southampton FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 46' Joe Aribo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chimuanya Ugochukwu on 46 minute.
  • 51' Erling Haaland has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 13 goals this season.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jeremy Doku suffering a number of foals already.
  • 57' Southampton FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 62' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Manchester City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Tyler Dibling is replaced by Cameron Archer on 66 minute.
  • 71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 76' Savio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Phil Foden on 76 minute.
  • 81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 86' Manchester City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Omar Marmoush is hanging Mateo Kovacic on the field on 86 minute.
  • 89' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryan Manning is hanging Welington on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' William Smallbone is replacing Mateus Fernandes for the Southampton FC side.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.78 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC21% Draw29% Manchester City FC50%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Manchester City FC
79%
Southampton FC or Manchester City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC15% Draw51% Manchester City FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 4
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 13% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 25% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.