Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 30,937 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Manchester City FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Robinson
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Manchester City FC H 0–0 D
03 May Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
26 Apr Fulham FC H 1–2 L
19 Apr West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
06 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Southampton FC A 0–0 D
02 May Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 2–0 W
22 Apr Aston Villa FC H 2–1 W
19 Apr Everton FC A 2–0 W
12 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 5–2 W

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Southampton FC welcome Manchester City FC for this crunch clash at Saint Mary's.
  • 5' Southampton FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Welington is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' Josko Gvardiol has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chimuanya Ugochukwu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' William Smallbone has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 348 appearances.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 43' The referee has no hesitation. Chimuanya Ugochukwu is booked for Southampton FC — card on 43.
  • 46' Southampton FC make a change. Chimuanya Ugochukwu trudges off to be replaced by Joe Aribo on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' The referee has no hesitation. Flynn Downes is booked for Southampton FC — card on 57.
  • 62' It’s high time Pep Guardiola made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 66' Cameron Archer gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Tyler Dibling and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. Flynn Downes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 76' The Manchester City FC bench stirs into life. Phil Foden is withdrawn and Savio gets his opportunity.
  • 81' The 30-year-old Jan Bednarek has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 86' The Manchester City FC bench stirs into life. Mateo Kovacic is withdrawn and Omar Marmoush gets his opportunity.
  • 89' A tactical swap from Southampton FCRyan Manning on, Welington off on 89 minutes.
  • 90' William Smallbone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateus Fernandes on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Southampton FC and Manchester City FC share the spoils 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.78 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC21% Draw29% Manchester City FC50%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Manchester City FC
79%
Southampton FC or Manchester City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC15% Draw51% Manchester City FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 4
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 13% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 25% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.