Thursday , 2 July 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2025-26 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Manchester City FCFA Cup .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
04 Mar Manchester United FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Everton FC H 2–3 L
24 Feb Qarabag Agdam FK H 3–2 W
21 Feb Manchester City FC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Qarabag Agdam FK A 6–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Newcastle United FC A 3–1 W
04 Mar Nottingham Forest FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
21 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–1 W
14 Feb Salford City FC H 2–0 W
11 Feb Fulham FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
68% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
2/
61-75
1/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 3 G
Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC28% Draw27% Manchester City FC45%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Manchester City FC
72%
Newcastle United FC or Manchester City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC22% Draw45% Manchester City FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
8.2%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 21% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.