Newcastle United FC vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2025-26 LAST 16

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FA Cup · 2025-26

Newcastle United FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Manchester City FC — FA Cup .

Newcastle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Manchester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Head-to-Head

Newcastle United FC 19 games · Avg 3.5 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 Newcastle United FC 1–3 Manchester City FC 2026-02-21 Manchester City FC 2–1 Newcastle United FC 2025-11-22 Newcastle United FC 2–1 Manchester City FC 2025-02-15 Manchester City FC 4–0 Newcastle United FC 2024-09-28 Newcastle United FC 1–1 Manchester City FC

Recent Form

Newcastle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Manchester City FC	H	1–3	L
04 Mar	Manchester United FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Everton FC	H	2–3	L
24 Feb	Qarabag Agdam FK	H	3–2	W
21 Feb	Manchester City FC	A	1–2	L
18 Feb	Qarabag Agdam FK	A	6–1	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Newcastle United FC	A	3–1	W
04 Mar	Nottingham Forest FC	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Leeds United FC	A	1–0	W
21 Feb	Newcastle United FC	H	2–1	W
14 Feb	Salford City FC	H	2–0	W
11 Feb	Fulham FC	H	3–0	W

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

68% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/–

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC

Harvey Barnes

3 G

Manchester City FC

Antoine Semenyo	3 G	2 A
Erling Haaland	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Newcastle United FC host Manchester City FC — let the battle begin!
Another three points for Manchester City FC.

Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Raheem Sterling	7
Bernardo Silva	5
Ferran Torres	5
Kevin De Bruyne	3
Omar Marmoush	3
Riyad Mahrez	3
Joao Cancelo	2
Anthony Gordon	2

Head to Head

Newcastle United FC Form

2026-03-07 Newcastle United FC 1–3 Manchester City FC L 2026-03-04 Newcastle United FC 2–1 Manchester United FC W 2026-02-28 Newcastle United FC 2–3 Everton FC L 2026-02-24 Newcastle United FC 3–2 Qarabag Agdam FK W 2026-02-21 Manchester City FC 2–1 Newcastle United FC L 2026-02-18 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–6 Newcastle United FC W

Manchester City FC Form

2026-03-07 Newcastle United FC 1–3 Manchester City FC W 2026-03-04 Manchester City FC 2–2 Nottingham Forest FC D 2026-02-28 Leeds United FC 0–1 Manchester City FC W 2026-02-21 Manchester City FC 2–1 Newcastle United FC W 2026-02-14 Manchester City FC 2–0 Salford City FC W 2026-02-11 Manchester City FC 3–0 Fulham FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.24 Newcastle United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.68 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Newcastle United FC28% Draw27% Manchester City FC45%

Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.92

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw

54%

Draw or Manchester City FC

72%

Newcastle United FC or Manchester City FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Newcastle United FC22% Draw45% Manchester City FC33%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 1

8.2%

0 – 2

7.5%

0 – 0

7.2%

2 – 1

6.7%

1 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.1%

0 – 3

4.1%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap	Newcastle United FC covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	15%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	21%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.