Malaga CF vs Real Valladolid CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Segunda Division · 2025-26

Malaga CF

3 – 3

Full Time

Real Valladolid CF

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Malaga CF vs Real Valladolid CF — Segunda Division .

Malaga CF 42 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Real Valladolid CF 42 games · 46 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alejandro Morilla Turrion (Spain)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Real Racing Club de Santander	42	82
2	RC Deportivo La Coruna	42	77
3	UD Almeria	42	74
4	Malaga CF	42	73
5	UD Las Palmas	42	73
6	CD Castellon	42	72
7	Burgos CF	42	72
8	SD Eibar	42	67
9	Real Sporting de Gijon	42	61
10	Cordoba CF	42	61
11	AD Ceuta FC	42	61
12	Albacete Balompie	42	59
13	Andorra CF	42	58
14	Granada CF	42	48
15	Real Sociedad B	42	47
16	CD Leganes	42	46
17	Real Valladolid CF	42	46
18	Cadiz CF	42	43
19	CD Mirandes	42	40
20	SD Huesca	42	38
21	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	42	37
22	Real Zaragoza	42	36

Head-to-Head

Malaga CF 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Real Valladolid CF

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 Malaga CF 3–3 Real Valladolid CF 2025-11-29 Real Valladolid CF 1–1 Malaga CF

Recent Form

Malaga CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Real Valladolid CF	H	3–3	D
28 Feb	Granada CF	A	1–0	W
22 Feb	Albacete Balompie	H	1–0	W
16 Feb	Real Sociedad B	A	1–2	L
08 Feb	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	H	2–1	W
02 Feb	CD Mirandes	A	1–2	L

Real Valladolid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Malaga CF	A	3–3	D
28 Feb	SD Huesca	H	1–0	W
22 Feb	Real Sporting de Gijon	A	2–2	D
14 Feb	Granada CF	A	1–5	L
08 Feb	CD Castellon	H	0–4	L
31 Jan	Cordoba CF	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Malaga CF		Real Valladolid CF
#4	Position	#17
73	Points	46
42	Played	42
21 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 20
75	Scored	44
52	Conceded	57
+23	GD	-13
1.74	PPG	1.10
50%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Malaga CF are 4th (73 pts). Real Valladolid CF are 17th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Malaga CF and Real Valladolid CF.
The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

Malaga CF Lineups

Real Valladolid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.31 Malaga CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.43 Real Valladolid CF xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Malaga CF54% Draw22% Real Valladolid CF24%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.74

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Malaga CF or Draw

76%

Draw or Real Valladolid CF

46%

Malaga CF or Real Valladolid CF

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Malaga CF42% Draw38% Real Valladolid CF20%

Actual: Malaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 1

8.7%

3 – 1

6.7%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.2%

1 – 2

5.5%

1 – 0

3 – 2

4.8%

3 – 0

4.8%

4 – 1

3.9%

0 – 0

3.6%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Malaga CF

Handicap	Malaga CF covers	Push	Real Valladolid CF covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	17%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	20%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	12%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Malaga CF keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Real Valladolid CF keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.