Monday , 10 August 2026

Málaga CF vs CD Castellon, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 16:30 UTC Estadio La Rosaleda 27,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Chupete 23' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Málaga CF vs CD CastellonSegunda Division at Estadio La Rosaleda.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Palencia Caballero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Joan Mendez Mateo (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ion Rodriguez Portela (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
3
Málaga CF 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals CD Castellon

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr CD Castellon H 1–0 W
21 Apr SD Eibar A 2–2 D
14 Apr SD Huesca A 0–1 L
06 Apr Cordoba CF H 0–1 L
30 Mar Real Oviedo A 1–2 L
22 Mar Racing Club de Ferrol H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Málaga CF A 0–1 L
18 Apr UD Almería H 4–1 W
13 Apr Real Racing Club de Santander A 1–1 D
04 Apr Albacete Balompie H 2–2 D
29 Mar FC Cartagena A 2–2 D
23 Mar Levante UD A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Málaga CF CD Castellon
#4 Position #6
73 Points 72
42 Played 42
21 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 12 / 10
75 Scored 70
52 Conceded 51
+23 GD +19
1.74 PPG 1.71
50% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Málaga CF are 4th (73 pts). CD Castellon are 6th (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Malaga CF host CD Castellon — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alex Pastor Carayol made 84 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Chupete has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 84 appearances.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Malaga CF and CD Castellon are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 23' What a strike from Chupete! The score is 1-0.
  • 28' Alex Calatrava is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Malaga CF tonight.
  • 33' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Malaga CF and CD Castellon are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
  • 46' Another change for Malaga CF made on 46 minute. Manu Molina leaves to be changed by Luismi.
  • 48' Chupete is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
  • 53' Jesus De Miguel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 58' Malaga CF currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 62' That is a card for CD Castellon. Jozhua Vertrouwd will be fuming at that decision.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Villodres. He replaces Julen Lobete on 64 minute.
  • 65' A change in the Malaga CF ranks — Chupete exits the field as Dioni enters on 65.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Einar Galilea. He receives a card.
  • 69' Nick Markanich is ready to make an impact after coming on for Isra Suero at the 69 minute mark.
  • 72' Alberto catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
  • 76' The whistle greets Jozhua Vertrouwd as he departs to be replaced by Jetro Willems.
  • 80' Luismi is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
  • 82' Controversy at the stadium! Daijiro Chirino argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 84' Rodriguez Ruiz is replacing Antonio Cordero for the Malaga CF side.
  • 85' A change in the CD Castellon ranks — Daijiro Chirino exits the field as Jesus De Miguel enters on 85.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Alex Pastor Carayol on 90 minutes earns him a card. Malaga CF will be frustrated.
  • 90' Puga gets the nod from Malaga CF. He replaces David Larrubia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Malaga CF to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.45 Málaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 CD Castellon xG
I would bet for: Málaga CF or CD Castellon 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Málaga CF45% Draw27% CD Castellon28%
Actual: Málaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Málaga CF or Draw
72%
Draw or CD Castellon
55%
Málaga CF or CD Castellon
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Málaga CF30% Draw48% CD Castellon22%
Actual: Málaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Málaga CF

Handicap Málaga CF covers Push CD Castellon covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
32%
CD Castellon keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.