Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,386 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness 33' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–5 L
06 Nov Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
01 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
23 Oct Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
10 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–2 L
05 Nov Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
23 Oct Burnley FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Luton Town FC is hosting Hull City AFC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Charlie Hughes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hull City AFC tonight.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Luton Town FC and Hull City AFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' It’s high time Tim Walter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Hull City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 22' Luton Town FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 22.
  • 27' Carlton Morris, a England , has 38 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Hull City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 33' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mark McGuinness makes it 1-0.
  • 37' Lewie Coyle catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 37.
  • 39' Marvelous Nakamba catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hull City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 49' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 54' Luton Town FC have won 465 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 57' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Shandon Baptiste has done his job and it is now time for Liam Walsh to step up.
  • 58' A tactical swap from Hull City AFCRyan Longman on, Gustavo Puerta off on 58 minutes.
  • 63' Over 63 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 67' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Elijah Adebayo by Jacob Brown on 67 minute.
  • 72' Kasey Palmer gets the nod from Hull City AFC. He replaces Abdulkadir Omur and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Hull City AFC backline.
  • 82' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Hull City AFC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Tom Krauss is replaced by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu.
  • 88' Chris Bedia is ready to make an impact after coming on for Xavier Simons at the 88 minute mark.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Luton Town FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC52% Draw29% Hull City AFC19%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Hull City AFC
48%
Luton Town FC or Hull City AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC31% Draw55% Hull City AFC14%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
50%
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.