Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
28 Feb Millwall FC H 2–2 D
25 Feb Birmingham City FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
27 Feb Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Stoke City FC H 1–3 L
18 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
11 Feb Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Swansea City AFC gets underway.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Swansea City AFC is showing some good football. However, Swansea City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Joe Allen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Swansea City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 27' It’s a booking for Swansea City AFC player. Luke Cundle gets a Yellow card.
  • 28' Controversy at the stadium! Luke Cundle argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Swansea City AFC backline.
  • 39' Carlton Morris makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Luton Town FC are in front.
  • 44' Swansea City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Morgan Whittaker gets the nod from Swansea City AFC. He replaces Joe Allen and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' Oliver Cooper was booked on 50.
  • 55' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 60' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 65' The 32-year-old Amari'i Bell has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 68' Cauley Woodrow is replacing Elijah Adebayo for the Luton Town FC side.
  • 73' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rob Edwards might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 77' The Swansea City AFC manager makes a substitution. Oliver Cooper departs to be replaced by Jamie Paterson.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Carlton Morris is replaced by Pelly Ruddock.
  • 86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Luton Town FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Cauley Woodrow is booked for Luton Town FC — Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Jordan Clark departs to be replaced by Joe Taylor.
  • With this win, Luton Town FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC51% Draw28% Swansea City AFC21%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
49%
Luton Town FC or Swansea City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC32% Draw52% Swansea City AFC16%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
44%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.