Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
28 Feb Millwall FC H 2–2 D
25 Feb Birmingham City FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
27 Feb Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Stoke City FC H 1–3 L
18 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
11 Feb Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Kenilworth Road. Luton Town FC are looking to make home advantage count against Swansea City AFC.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joel Piroe made 436 appearances and scored 83 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Luton Town FC and Swansea City AFC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' It’s high time Russell Martin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' Luke Cundle has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 27.
  • 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luke Cundle on 28.
  • 33' It looks surprising Swansea City AFC does not make any changes. Allan Campbell has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 39' Carlton Morris adds to his 0 season tally! Luton Town FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 44' Marvelous Nakamba has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 45' Joe Allen makes way for Morgan Whittaker at the 45 minute mark. A tactical switch from Swansea City AFC.
  • 50' Oliver Cooper has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 50.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 383 games and scored 472 goals.
  • 60' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Swansea City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 65' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 68' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCCauley Woodrow on, Elijah Adebayo off on 68 minutes.
  • 73' Swansea City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 77' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Oliver Cooper by Jamie Paterson on 77 minute.
  • 81' Luton Town FC make a change. Carlton Morris trudges off to be replaced by Pelly Ruddock on 81 minutes.
  • 86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Cauley Woodrow argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 90' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 90 minute. Jordan Clark leaves to be changed by Joe Taylor.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Swansea City AFC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC51% Draw28% Swansea City AFC21%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
49%
Luton Town FC or Swansea City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC32% Draw52% Swansea City AFC16%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
44%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.