Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
28 Feb Millwall FC H 2–2 D
25 Feb Birmingham City FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
27 Feb Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Stoke City FC H 1–3 L
18 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
11 Feb Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
Adam Idah 3 G 1 A
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A
Joseph Opoku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Luton Town FC have kicked off against Swansea City AFC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 27' Luke Cundle is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
  • 28' The referee has no hesitation. Luke Cundle is booked for Swansea City AFC — Yellow card on 28.
  • 33' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 38' Matthew Sorinola is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
  • 39' Goal! Carlton Morris scores his 68 goal in 329 matches.
  • 44' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' Morgan Whittaker gets the nod from Swansea City AFC. He replaces Joe Allen and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' A moment of madness from Oliver Cooper on 50 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Swansea City AFC will be frustrated.
  • 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 60' Swansea City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Swansea City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 68' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 68 minute. Elijah Adebayo leaves to be changed by Cauley Woodrow.
  • 73' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 73 minutes.
  • 77' Jamie Paterson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Oliver Cooper at the 77 minute mark.
  • 81' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Carlton Morris departs to be replaced by Pelly Ruddock.
  • 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jamie Paterson made 391 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Cauley Woodrow picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Luton Town FC make a change. Jordan Clark trudges off to be replaced by Joe Taylor on 90 minutes.
  • 1-0 the final result. Swansea City AFC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC51% Draw28% Swansea City AFC21%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
49%
Luton Town FC or Swansea City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC32% Draw52% Swansea City AFC16%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.