Sunday , 27 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,386 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness 33' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Scott Ledger
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–5 L
06 Nov Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
01 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
23 Oct Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
10 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–2 L
05 Nov Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
23 Oct Burnley FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Kenilworth Road that hosts another battle between Luton Town FC and Hull City AFC.
  • 5' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Luton Town FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Hull City AFC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 22' Reece Burke picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 27' Lewie Coyle needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 33' GOAL! Mark McGuinness scores on 33. Assisted by Shandon Baptiste
  • 37' Lewie Coyle is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Marvelous Nakamba.
  • 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tim Walter will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 49' The travelling Hull City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Shandon Baptiste is withdrawn and Liam Walsh gets his opportunity.
  • 58' A change in the Hull City AFC ranks — Gustavo Puerta exits the field as Ryan Longman enters on 58.
  • 63' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Elijah Adebayo as he leaves the pitch. Jacob Brown steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 72' A change in the Hull City AFC ranks — Abdulkadir Omur exits the field as Kasey Palmer enters on 72.
  • 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hull City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 82' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Luton Town FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu comes on to replace Tom Krauss.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Xavier Simons is replaced by Chris Bedia on 88 minute.
  • 1-0 the final result. Hull City AFC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC52% Draw29% Hull City AFC19%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Hull City AFC
48%
Luton Town FC or Hull City AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC31% Draw55% Hull City AFC14%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.