Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hull City AFC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 23 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC The MKM Stadium 20,168 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavier Simons 45' 1–0
1–1 77' Zian Flemming

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Burnley FCChampionship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Richard Wild
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Burnley FC H 1–1 D
20 Oct Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
05 Oct Norwich City FC A 0–4 L
01 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–1 W
28 Sep Cardiff City FC H 4–1 W
20 Sep Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–0 W
05 Oct Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
01 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
28 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to The MKM Stadium that hosts another battle between Hull City AFC and Burnley FC.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Connor Roberts has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 13' The supporters are chanting for Abu Kamara. He replaces Liam Millar on 13 minute.
  • 18' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' Jay Rodriguez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 33' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Hannibal Mejbri has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hull City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' Goal! Xavier Simons scores his 4 goal in 380 matches.
  • 50' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Cullen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Joao Pedro Galvao is replaced by Chris Bedia.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Enock Agyei. He replaces Luca Koleosho on 65 minute.
  • 66' The whistle greets Hannibal Mejbri as he departs to be replaced by Josh Laurent.
  • 71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 76' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Josh Cullen departs to be replaced by Andreas Hountondji.
  • 77' Goal! Zian Flemming scores his 70 goal in 232 matches.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hull City AFC that had 380 games and scored 430 goals.
  • 83' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Zian Flemming by Jay Rodriguez on 83 minute.
  • 85' The whistle greets Mohamed Belloumi as he departs to be replaced by Ryan John Giles.
  • 90' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Burnley FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC35% Draw30% Burnley FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
65%
Draw or Burnley FC
65%
Hull City AFC or Burnley FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC24% Draw51% Burnley FC25%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.7%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
31%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.