Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Burnley FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 19 May | Fulham FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 11 May | West Ham United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 May | Everton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Brentford FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Luton Town FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 19 May | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Manchester United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Largie Ramazani | 4 G | 1 A |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Luton Town FC and Burnley FC get this one started.
- 5' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 6' Josh Brownhill has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
- 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 21' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 37' What a strike from Wilson Odobert! The score is 0-2.
- 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Luton Town FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for James Trafford on 43.
- 48' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Reuell Walters has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 51' It’s gonna be a card for Zack Nelson.
- 55' Tahith Chong doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 59' Lucas Pires has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
- 60' The referee calls foul for Tahith Chong. He receives a card.
- 62' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Josh Cullen gets a card.
- 66' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Luca Koleosho by Anass Zaroury on 66 minute.
- 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 72' The deadlock is broken! Dara O'Shea gets on the scoresheet on 72 minutes.
- 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 80' Vitinho adds to his 1 season tally! Burnley FC lead 1-4 — and this changes everything.
- 80' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Joseph Johnson exits the field as Andros Townsend enters on 80.
- 83' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Lyle Foster exits the field as Wout Weghorst enters on 83.
- 87' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu on, Shandon Baptiste off on 87 minutes.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Luke McNally. He replaces Wilson Odobert on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Luton Town FC.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 45
- 26
- 9
- 11
- 7
- 24
- 14
- 15
- 2
- 38
- 37
Bench
- 29
- 25
-
30
Andros Townsend ↑ 80'
- 10
- 3
- 1
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 87'
- 39
- 40
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 2
- 14
- 24
- 22
-
17
Lyle Foster ↓ Wout Weghorst 83'
- 1
- 5
-
23
Lucas Pires ↓ Han-Noah Massengo 83'
-
47
Wilson Odobert ↓ Luke McNally 90'
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↓ Anass Zaroury 66'
Bench
- 9
- 11
-
29
Wout Weghorst ↑ 83'
- 10
-
42
Han-Noah Massengo ↑ 83'
- 32
- 37
-
34
Luke McNally ↑ 90'
-
19
Anass Zaroury ↑ 66'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Lyle Foster | 2 |
| Tahith Chong | 1 |
| Daniel Potts | 1 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | 1 |
| Elijah Adebayo | 1 |
| Zeki Amdouni | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 22% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

