Sunday , 16 August 2026

Leeds United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Elland Road 36,468 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Rodon 39' 1–0
Maximilian Wober 44' 2–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Derby County FC H 2–0 W
30 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
27 Nov Luton Town FC H 3–0 W
24 Nov Swansea City AFC A 4–3 W
09 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
06 Nov Millwall FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
23 Nov Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
06 Nov Coventry City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Leeds United FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Joe Ward has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Farke will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Kayden Jackson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 15.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 21' Another change for Leeds United FC made on 21 minute. Junior Firpo leaves to be changed by Maximilian Wober.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leeds United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jayden Bogle, as he is very good at scoring at Elland Road with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 36' Leeds United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 39' Joe Rodon makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Leeds United FC are in front.
  • 44' Maximilian Wober adds to his 1 season tally! Leeds United FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 54' Leeds United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 59' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 64' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 65' The whistle greets Kayden Jackson as he departs to be replaced by Kenzo Goudmijn.
  • 68' Mateo Fernandez is replacing Brenden Aaronson for the Leeds United FC side.
  • 73' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 78' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Barkhuizen. He replaces Liam Thompson on 81 minute.
  • 85' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Joe Rothwell has done his job and it is now time for Josuha Guilavogui to step up.
  • 90' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • Another three points for Leeds United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC56% Draw26% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Leeds United FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC37% Draw48% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.