Saturday , 14 November 2026

Leeds United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 23 Nov 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
09 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 1–3 L
01 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–3 L
24 Oct West Ham United FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Burnley FC A 0–2 L
04 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Leeds United FC A 2–1 W
09 Nov AFC Bournemouth H 4–0 W
06 Nov Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 2–0 W
01 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
26 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
23 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Leeds United FC Aston Villa FC
#9 Position #10
14 Points 13
10 Played 10
3 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
10 Scored 14
8 Conceded 17
+2 GD -3
1.40 PPG 1.30
30% Win % 30%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Leeds United FC are 9th (14 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 3 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Noah Okafor 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G
Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC or Aston Villa FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC35% Draw28% Aston Villa FC37%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
65%
Leeds United FC or Aston Villa FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC28% Draw48% Aston Villa FC24%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.