Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Fri 13 Jan 2023 · 20:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee Stuart Burt
  • Referee Lee Betts
  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Referee Simon Bennett
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–1 W
08 Jan Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
04 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
13 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
08 Jan Cardiff City FC A 2–2 D
04 Jan West Ham United FC H 2–2 D
31 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
12 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–4 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Leeds United FC
#16 Position #5
4 Points 9
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 0
4 Scored 7
9 Conceded 3
-5 GD +4
0.80 PPG 1.80
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Leeds United FC are 5th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.07 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Leeds United FC 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC37% Draw26% Leeds United FC37%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Leeds United FC
63%
Aston Villa FC or Leeds United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC20% Draw48% Leeds United FC32%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.