Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Fri 13 Jan 2023 · 20:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee Stuart Burt
  • Referee Lee Betts
  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Referee Simon Bennett
5 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–1 W
08 Jan Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
04 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
13 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
08 Jan Cardiff City FC A 2–2 D
04 Jan West Ham United FC H 2–2 D
31 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
12 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–4 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Leeds United FC
#10 Position #9
13 Points 14
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 2
14 Scored 10
17 Conceded 8
-3 GD +2
1.30 PPG 1.40
30% Win % 30%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Leeds United FC are 9th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G
Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 3 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Noah Okafor 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC45% Draw27% Leeds United FC28%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Leeds United FC
55%
Aston Villa FC or Leeds United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC28% Draw48% Leeds United FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.