Leeds United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Leeds United FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Aston Villa FC

Sun 23 Nov 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League .

Leeds United FC 38 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Aston Villa FC 38 games · 65 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robert Jones

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	38	39
2	Burnley FC	38	22
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	38	20
4	Arsenal FC	38	85
5	Manchester City FC	38	78
6	Manchester United FC	38	71
7	Aston Villa FC	38	65
8	Liverpool FC	38	60
9	AFC Bournemouth	38	57
10	Sunderland AFC	38	54
11	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	38	53
12	Brentford FC	38	53
13	Chelsea FC	38	52
14	Fulham FC	38	52
15	Newcastle United FC	38	49
16	Everton FC	38	49
17	Leeds United FC	38	47
18	Crystal Palace FC	38	45
19	Nottingham Forest FC	38	44
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	38	41
21	Coventry City FC	0	0
22	Hull City AFC	0	0
23	Ipswich Town FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

Leeds United FC 10 games · Avg 2.8 goals Aston Villa FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-23 Leeds United FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC 2023-01-13 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Leeds United FC 2022-10-02 Leeds United FC 0–0 Aston Villa FC 2022-03-10 Leeds United FC 0–3 Aston Villa FC 2022-02-09 Aston Villa FC 3–3 Leeds United FC

Recent Form

Leeds United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	Aston Villa FC	H	1–2	L
09 Nov	Nottingham Forest FC	A	1–3	L
01 Nov	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	0–3	L
24 Oct	West Ham United FC	H	2–1	W
18 Oct	Burnley FC	A	0–2	L
04 Oct	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	1–2	L

Aston Villa FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Nov	Leeds United FC	A	2–1	W
09 Nov	AFC Bournemouth	H	4–0	W
06 Nov	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC	H	2–0	W
01 Nov	Liverpool FC	A	0–2	L
26 Oct	Manchester City FC	H	1–0	W
23 Oct	Go Ahead Eagles	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Leeds United FC		Aston Villa FC
#17	Position	#7
47	Points	65
38	Played	38
11 / 14 / 13	W / D / L	19 / 8 / 11
49	Scored	56
56	Conceded	49
-7	GD	+7
1.24	PPG	1.71
29%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Leeds United FC are 17th (47 pts). Aston Villa FC are 7th (65 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Leeds United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Aston Villa FC.
The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrick Bamford	4
Daniel James	3
Jacob Ramsey	3
Philippe Coutinho	2
Conor Hourihane	1
Emiliano Buendia	1
Mateusz Klich	1
Leon Bailey	1

Head to Head

Leeds United FC Form

2025-11-23 Leeds United FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC L 2025-11-09 Nottingham Forest FC 3–1 Leeds United FC L 2025-11-01 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3–0 Leeds United FC L 2025-10-24 Leeds United FC 2–1 West Ham United FC W 2025-10-18 Burnley FC 2–0 Leeds United FC L 2025-10-04 Leeds United FC 1–2 Tottenham Hotspur FC L

Aston Villa FC Form

2025-11-23 Leeds United FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC W 2025-11-09 Aston Villa FC 4–0 AFC Bournemouth W 2025-11-06 Aston Villa FC 2–0 Maccabi Tel Aviv FC W 2025-11-01 Liverpool FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC L 2025-10-26 Aston Villa FC 1–0 Manchester City FC W 2025-10-23 Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 Aston Villa FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.35 Leeds United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.62 Aston Villa FC xG

I would bet for: Leeds United FC or Aston Villa FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Leeds United FC30% Draw26% Aston Villa FC44%

Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw

56%

Draw or Aston Villa FC

70%

Leeds United FC or Aston Villa FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Leeds United FC24% Draw44% Aston Villa FC32%

Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.1%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

7.5%

2 – 1

7.3%

0 – 0

6.9%

0 – 2

6.6%

1 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

4.6%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap	Leeds United FC covers	Push	Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	17%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	20%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.